Lone Star Park Racing Analysis — Monday, June 15, 2020, by Mike Northcut

track:   Fast    turf: Firm   

96 degrees partly cloudy 

race 1:  Maiden Claiming $20,000

1 1/16 turf

my picks:   8-10-4

8-Fika  coming into the race off 103 day layoff taking a drop in class today, Bret Calhoun is 28% going for MSW to MDN claiming and gets David Cabrera today, he makes the difference & gets this 4-YO filly to the winners circle.

10-Irish Intuition  first time in claiming company, Joe Sharp is 29% taking blinkers off. She will be coming late.

4-Mizzanna yet another one dropping in company, last time running with 20k claimers she just missed by 3/4 breaking from post 11

race 2:  claiming $7,500  

5 1/2f dirt

my picks:   6-9-4

6-Malasong last seen 3/14 at Fair Grounds, he won the race easily by 7 1/2 lengths. He will be on the lead.

9-Foxrun  last seen at WRD on 4/29, won the race by 1/2 with Lane Luzzi up, Lane retains the mount today.

4-Phat and Fast  another one not seen in a while, last ran at Fair Grounds  2/29. It’ been a moment since finding the winners circle, but will be moving late.

race 3:  MSW Texas Bred

5 1/2f  dirt

my picks:    5-6-2

5-Catch The Devil  ran a big race when last seen at Sam Houston on 2/7 He broke from post 11 opened up 4 but settled for second place.

6-Fancy All The Time  dam Deputy Sarah has 5 winners from 5 starters, and Ramon Vazquez/Diodoro last 14 days are 10-3-3-1.

2-Krazy Vivi  use this one to add value to your trifecta 

race 4:  MSW Texas Bred 2-YO 

4 1/2f dirt

my picks:   1A-2-5    

1A-My Blarney Stone  big work on 6/7 3f :36.2hg  1/17 breaks from post 6

2-Stone Cafe  steady works breaks from the rail, trained by Bret Calhoun

5-I’m Romeo  first two works very good, last two just to keep him finely tuned.

race 5:  claiming $25,000

1 mile turf

my picks:   2-1-3

pick five:

5:    1,2,3

6:    7,9,12

7:    1,2,8

8:    4,7

9:    3,4,5

$81 for .50

2-Cherokee Summer  been off 157 days, last seen at Sam Houston where she won handily beating $25,000 claiming company

1-Sky Freak  takes a drop in class and is a beaten favorite Ingrid Mason is 22% been away 275 days, should like the distance.

3-Break at Dawn  Pish is 18% going dirt to turf, and Lane Luzzi riding for Pish last 60 days 20%  & 45% ITM.

race 6   Claiming $10,000

6f dirt 

my picks:   9-7-12

pick four: 

6:   7,9,12

7:   1,2,8

8:   5,7

9:   3,4,5

$27 for .50

9-Contendress   Quincy Hamilton riding for Diodoro they are 20% last 60 days & 60% ITM. Takes a drop in class and finished third in first try over the track.

7-Hero of Gold  Eduardo Ramirez is 18% with 90+ days away, was last seen 100 days ago Ramirez is 17% first off the claim & 53% ITM

12-Heffington   Cabrera riding for Broberg last 60 days they are 28% with 61% ITM. Broberg 22% going turf to dirt

race 7  Claiming $5,000

1 mile dirt

my picks:    8-2-1

8-Flash Forcast  Joe Offolter is 24% dropping a horse 2+ classes. He’s shipping in from WRD & is 6-2-0-1 at today’s distance

2-Hardly Seen Slim  just missed in his first time over the track. Broberg/Cabrera is always a very powerful combination.

1-Call the Colonel  last seen at the FG 2/22 winning that race rail post is winning 22%.

race 8  Starter Optional Claimer

1 1/16 turf

my picks:   7**best bet** 5-2

7-Prospector Fever  this 6yo gelding is another animal when on the turf when last on the turf at Sam Houston he’d won two straight races. 12-6-0-4 on the turf. Stewart Elliott rides.

5-Im a Cowboy Two  Ron Faucheux is 21% first off the claim last seen 3/5/20 at the FG where he won in wire to wire fashion.

2-Don’task Dont’ttell  Villafranco is 18% first off the claim 21% second off the layoff.

race 9  Allowance

6f dirt

my picks:   4-5-3

4-Scarlettsblackjack  showed good speed & tired in the mud first time over this track, and is 9-4-0-0 at the distance. He will sit right behind the dueling leaders & take over turning for home, and will be much tighter for this race

5-Senor Jobim  Keith Asmussen rides his first professional race, of course he’s riding for his dad my top pick & this one come out of the same last race.

3-Monte Man  will be the speed of this group, will face quite a bit of pressure, but is 18-7-3-3 at the distance.

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