Turfway Racing Analysis- Thursday Feb 13 2020- By Hunter Ulwelling

Race 1- 1st #5 Stock Chain has raced sixteen times and is still a maiden owned by Calumet Farms.  Last out, he ran a nice second place at this level. I’d love to see him step up and break his maiden.

2nd #7 B R Cooper is coming off of a four-month layoff from Indiana.  Nineteen starts for this one, and no wins yet. I’m hoping the layoff maybe will help now that he is coming back fresh.

3rd #3 Out of the Blue ran third at this level after he got bumped up in class, I am not sure if he liked the track or what but normally horses don’t improve when they get bumped up in class like he did.  Hoping he can repeat that performance here.

Race 2- 1st #5 Time Warp is dropping from a tough allowance race, but ran two really poor races, which leads me to believe whatever problem she had before hasn’t been resolved.  But the class drop should help.

2nd #2 Channel Princess is the nicely bred daughter of English Channel who was purchased for $5K.  She’s been running pretty well, had a couple months off since her last race at Churchill at the beginning of November.

3rd #3 Take Charge Cacky I had taken last out and she ran a nice race, winning by four and a half lengths.  She’s the most lightly raced out of this bunch of seven, but also is going up in class a little meaning she has her hands full.

Rave 3- 1st #11 Sign of the Times looks tough, long, long layoff.  But I’m confident her trainer (Wesley Ward) has her ready to rock.  Works are kind of slow, which isn’t great but that doesn’t always mean much.

2nd #6 Hollee Peach sits at 3/1 ML, and her trainer is having a good meet, but she doesn’t seem to be that interested in racing yet.  Big class drop which will help a lot I think and that’s why I am putting her here.

3rd #2 Headline Kitten was recently claimed and put back up in class, which I don’t think is a great idea, but she could hit the board.  Only lost by two lengths so something to keep in mind when betting, but has a shot to hit the board.

Race 4- 1st #3 Improbable Story takes a class drop which was needed, because his last race was a complete flop when he was beaten by over twenty lengths.  A nice class drop should help this one, was a $2K purchase who’s already made back twelve times that.

2nd #4 Glass Eater kind of has the same story as the horse I put above him.  The connections definitely hurt the horses confidence by running him in a $500K race at Kentucky Downs, and he only lost by seven lengths, but since his win hasn’t showed anything.

3rd #8 Morning Darling has had four months off from an optional claimer at Keeneland, and it was a tough race, but a good effort.  Lightly raced, loved his first effort when he broke his maiden at Ellis. A cheap purchase of $3K too.

Race 5- 1st #5 Mo Mosa has a second and third from his two starts, blinkers on for the first time, trained by Mike Maker, (bred and owned by the Martin’s, who partly campaigned California Chrome!) and this fella is bred well, really looking like he’ll break his maiden here.

2nd #12 Peerless Brown lost by a length and a quarter last out, really good effort compared to his first two races.  Maybe he likes the synthetic, and it was a softer spot, and I think he will continue to improve as he gets some experience.

3rd #11 Have a Plan really faded late last out, just got tired.  Only one start, finished fifth, this one is also trained by Mike Maker who does fantastic at Turfway.  This one is a homebred for Woodford Thoroughbreds.

Race 6- 1st #6 At Guard won last out, sits at 7/2 here.  Loves Turfway, eight starts, two wins, two seconds, and three thirds.  Nine wins from thirty-one starts, so just an older gelding who’s usually pretty good at his job.  

2nd #9 News Box is consistently on the board, newer to Turfway but won last out impressively by six lengths, and also won again two back.  His trainer has one win from seven starts this meet, but also hit at 22% last year from fifty-nine starts which is awesome.

3rd #4 Get Tough has me a little concerned with the jockey choice, and last out was terrible.  Now he’s in for the tag, and the jockey Virginia Tormey won on him two back, so at least they are reunited and she knows the horse.

Race 7- 1st #3 Kitten’s Cat is now for in a tag for $40K, ran in the Forego Stakes last out, and it wasn’t a great race, but looking for an improvement here.  Earnings of $478,000 and is owned by the Ramsey’s who have some nice homebreds that can run anywhere.

2nd #4 King Daddy came to the US last out, also ran in the Forego and it wasn’t a bad effort, the horse just made a huge move across the world.  That was a tough race, and I expect the son of Scat Daddy to run better here.

3rd #8 Unmoored comes out of the Forego also, like several of his rivals.  Before that, he’s been running such good efforts, but like I mentioned it was a tough race.  He’s been claimed a couple times recently, and he was worth the price, but he needs to go back to his old form.

Race 8- 1st #8 Two More Times goes from a maiden special weight down to the bottom here, so a much better performance should come from this one.  Has also had seven months off so she should be fresh, but may need an out.

2nd #12 West Glacier takes a class drop after a third-place finish last out for $25K.  There was a trainer’s change recently but could also help. The horse was started out in stakes races which I find interesting, but likely overwhelmed the horse.

3rd #5 Cyclone Millie ran much better last out on the inside, only lost by a length and a quarter.  That was her best race, and I am hoping she can run another good one to eventually break her maiden. 

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