Mohawk Racing Analysis- Monday Jan 28, 2019-By Keith Rosintoski

CYMI: AT #THEPOMP (POMPANO PARK) THERE IS A 23K C/O IN THE PICK 5 STARTING RACE 1 7:20 SCHEDULED POST.  POOL IS GUARANTEED AT 80K SO #SENDITIN. 

POMPANO PICK 5 BREAKDOWN

RACE 1: 2, 4 , 6 ARE THE PLAYERS, I WOULDN’T USE ALL 3 THOUGH

RACE 2:  6 LAYER CAKE / WALLY

RACE 3: BEATABLE WALLY HERE 2 & 7

RACE 4: 6 AZURE SEELSTER  / 8 BARYNYA A

RACE 5: GOOD LUCK!!MOBINE MONDAY JANUARY 28TH

RACE 1

6 ON THE SLY is nothing special but he is probably the most likely winner in a lot of ways, he’ll be short

9 ETRUSCAN HANOVER can win at this level but post 9 is no bargain, you need to get that ML or more though to even try on top

3 VERO AMORE BI stopped to a walk last week in a spot he figured to be short in, if you forgive easily, you may get twice the price, interesting

4 BEE IN CHARGE rallied furiously and now steps up off the claim, but this spot is tougher, was well bet and well meant last time though, perhaps moves forward?  I doubt you’ll get 9-2 either, that’s the bigger problem

5 SCOTTIES SPIRIT has hit the ticket here at this level before and could spice up the exotics underneath

BOTTOM LINE: 6 IS MOST LIKELY BUT ISN’T WORTH SAY EVEN MONEY, IF HE’S THAT PRICE HE’S WORTH PLAYING AGAINST

WAGERING SUGGESTIONS

3 VERO AMORE BI AT 10-1 OR MORE

TRIFECTAS 34 / 34 / 569                34 / 569 / 34

RACE 2

3 JIMMY BE GOOD is a stone cold play against for me, hopefully he takes $$ but we’ll see

5 LISVINNIE is the wild card, and keep in mind when with this trainer to end the ’18 year, this horse was dreadful, if the price is right and it will be because of this trainer he’s a little interesting

6 MR MACH JIMMY will win this race more often than not, the odds will likely reflect such

BOTTOM LINE: TOUGH TO BET 6 HORSE FIELDS

RACE 3

1 DAYLON MAGICIAN goes back to the Moiseyev barn and we’ll see if that makes any difference as this horse tried the Preferred level when he was last in this barn, the last couple haven’t been up to snuff but can he wake up at a price tonight?

6 BIG RICH goes back to Roy and has hit the board the last 4 times he’s driven this one with 2 of those being wins, conservative steer last week I would expect this one to be flying off the gate tonight

7 WILD AND CRAZY GUY will try tougher after being scratched last week and it’s hard to argue with anyone that likes at a price given the current form, this is much tougher though on paper

4 CUE HALL has raced fine but you have to play against at a short price, but if he drifts……use

3 BAUTISTA was scratched last week but if that ML is correct he’s going to be too short to consider in this field, he is sharp though

8 ODDS ON AMETHYST  needs a trip and could be hard to find it from post 8, I guess if he drifts he’s usable

BOTTOM LINE: WIDE OPEN PREFERRED SO LET PRICE BE GUIDE

WAGERING SUGGESTIONS

6 BIG RICH AT 9-2 OR MORE

RACE 4

2 TOPVILLE CHEETAH AT 12-1 OR MORE IS MY BET

BOTTOM LINE: THIS FIELD IS NOT VERY GOOD AND NOBDOY LIKES TO WIN, BUT THE 2 HAS FACED TOUGHER THAN THIS HIS LAST 3 TIMES HERE AND WHILE THE FORM ISN’T GREAT, I’M HOPING OFF THE LAYOFF HE’S FRESH ENOUGH TO PULL THE UPSET AT A BIG PRICE, AFTER ALL, THE REST WILL BE SHORT PRICES AND HAVE NO EDGE ON THIS FIELD.  GOOD LUCK!

RACE 5

2 TOUCHDOWN AS is always risky but probably fits somewhere around this level, if you think he trots he’s probably got a shot, but be careful especially if he’s a short price

3 SEEYOU MEN could have very well got the job done last week but when he left for a position he landed the pocket, and never got out, you’ll get a much shorter number than the 15-1 last week if you like, and that’s the only knock

4 PARKHILL NONSTOP was flat last week and steps back up tonight, I wonder if he’s the sneaky play in here tonight

5 SETANTA rallied for 2nd last week at 47-1 and you’ll pay for that tonight if you like him

6 MAJOR MUSCLE drops and looks the one to beat, the last 3 weren’t exactly visually inspiring, good horse to take a shot against perhaps, understanding he can win

BOTTOM LINE IS 3 SEEYOU MEN IS THE RIGHT ONE IF HE’S NOT GROSSLY OVER BET

AT 10-1 OR MORE 3 SEEYOU MEN

RACE 6

8 CHARLIE IS A JOKER is out of excuses and continues to be a play against, make him beat you at 5-1 or shorter

4 CAULFIELD figures to be bet 1st time for Gallucci and qualified behind a good one it appears in Di Oggi, barn is 76% ITM this month so hard to get past

5 HANKS TANK looked good last week but perhaps it was just the field he faced? Tough to trust at a short number

9 CLOUD NINE HANOVER broke last time and now drops to a reasonable enough spot, post 9 might mean a no try though, tough call, at too big of odds you just have to assume they won’t try, watch the board

BOTTOM LINE IS THE 8 CHARLIE IS A JOKER MIGHT TAKE $$ AND HE’S JUST NOT BEEN GOOD AT ALL, COULD MISS TICKET

AT 7-2 OR MORE 4 CAULFIELD

RACE 7

3 BUDDHA BLUE CHIP qualified fine then returned for one poor effort and we haven’t seen him sense, the trainer qualified him this time and I wonder if he’s got a chance to blow up the exotics at a big price

7 TYLERS BEACH BOY is the unknown but does has some back form that would obviously crush this field, but at the bottom level off of a 2 year plus layoff he’s hard to recommend on top, but could be a price

1 LIVELY FREDDIE drops; draws the rail and could be a factor late if he can improve 3rd time for Auciello

6 CASIMIR OVERDRIVE is maybe the one to beat and can win, but he’s not deserving of a short price, fade

BOTTOM LINE: IF THE CHALK DOESN’T WIN THIS RACE COULD PAY WELL, HAVE SOME FUN

RACE 8

1 FREE WILLY HANOVER is sharp, and draws the rail, a ground saving trip with some racing luck could be all he needs, use at a big number

3 B YOYO has raced well of late from off the pace, hard to know if the inside draw helps but he’ll need a trip regardless, at 10-1 or more he’s usable

4 ON A SUNNY DAY was favored on Jan 14th and wasn’t that good, and was scratched last week, I would demand every bit of that ML 9-2 suggestions before considering, you have to be on your game to win at this level

5 DANCER HALL always finds one better but did race very well last week, a similar effort puts him right there

6 DUNBAR HALL uncharacteristically broke last time we saw him and he missed a week last week, perhaps a good week to go against?

9 MUSICAL RHYTHM shouldn’t be ignored having won 2 of the last 5 preferred events but the last time he drew this poorly he finished 7th, also note both of his wins came on off tracks

7 PL JILL parked every step when I bet her 3 back, jogged 2 back against weaker, and came right back in the Preferred to score last week, tough to argue with her form, and when mares get good they get good, if NOT favored, consider on top

BOTTOM LINE: WIDE OPEN PREFERRED ONCE AGAIN, LET PRICE BE GUIDE

WAGERING SUGGESTIONS:

3 B YOYO AT 10-1 OR MORE

EXACTAS 3 / 1457            1457 / 3

RACE 9

3 FLY BEYOND finds a softer spot and before last week has been hitting the board in every single race, no value, but logical

2 HEY LIVVY scratched last week after a post 10 no try the week before, should be all systems go here tonight BEST BET (YOU AREN’T GETTING 8-1)

6 ESQUIRE was flat last week but we’ve seen this before, he’s got a big effort in him, is it tonight?

7 STORMONT CHARLOTTE is the other, jumps up after winning 2 back, scratched judges last week, tough to know for sure how good she is but that last race was superb, use at a price

4 PERFETTO AND 8 DONATO LANE will take money but this field is MUCH tougher, fade both

BOTTOM LINE IS 4 & 8 ARE VULNERABLE AT SHORT PRICES, AND COULD MISS THE TICKET!!

BET 2 HEY LIVVY AT 7-2 OR MORE

TRIFECTAS 2 / 367 / 367                367 / 2 / 367                      367 / 367 / 2

RACE 10

1 LONE WOLF TERROR was now or never last week and got rough-gaited, tough to recommend tonight

6 PRINCE GIOVANNI rolled off cover last week and exploded home, comes right back off the claim for the hottest barn in North America, tough to look past

10 MACKTWOWILLDEW was 8-1 last week from a better post and managed a 2nd, if a shorter price tonight, prefer to fade

3 CHEYENNE FORM was taken back by the Shepard barn where he last won at the level below this, should be forwardly placed, if 6-1 is right that’s fair

9 LAUTNER SEELSTER beat the 3 the last time they faced off but has a tougher post assignment tonight, figures to get lost in the wagering, could be a live bomb if can somehow get into the race

BOTTOM LINE: NO STRONG OPINION, BUT 6 LOOKS THE ONE TO BEAT, 9 IS A LIVE BOMB

GOOD LUCK AS ALWAYS FOLLOW @LEGENDBETS ON TWITTER #MOBINEMONDAY

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