Lone Star Park Racing Analysis — Monday, August 10, 2020, by Mike Northcut

Sadly Lone Star has reached the end of their racing season, at least we got in most of the meet.We will all go out winners today with these selections. Big thanks to those of the Gallop for allowing me to write these weekly selections.


Race 1:  $20,000 claimers  TURF
my picks:    7-5-3
7-Frozen Hannah  This gutsy 7yo mare likes the distance 17-5-4-4 and is 1/1 at LSP.Diego riding for Caldwell is winning at 22% last 60 days.
5-Karate Hottie  Her second try on the turf, trained by Broberg, she’s a beaten favorite & Karl wins at 27% off this angle.
3-Quinn Murphy She is the “other” Broberg in the race, has done well at LSP 12-4-2-2 and is 32-6-6-8 on the turf.

race 2:   $4,000 claimers   5f DIRT
my picks:    9-5-2
9-Mars Curiosity  Very fond of the distance 23-7-5-4 taking a slight drop in class.
5-Meme Jo   19-8-4-3 at LSP this 10yo gelding still has plenty of early lick.
 2-Swiss Minister Trained by Broberg, Vazquez riding for Karl last 14 days 17-5-4-1

race 3:  MSW   5.5f   DIRT
my picks:   10-4-8
10-Tiz Magic  Really nice effort first start, showed speed and finished third. Wade riding for Jacks has a +3.34 ROI last 60 days.
4-New Boss   2yo daughter of Street Boss makes her debut, Eramia last 14 days  19-5-4-3.
8-Becca’s Rocket Her first start was on the turf at EVD and just missed by 1/2 length. Switches to the dirt today, Geiner wins at 14% with this angle.

Race 4:   $20,000 Maiden claimers    7.5f TURF
my picks:   4-7-6
4-Fika  Will her 13th try be a winning one? I sure think so, she’s a twice beaten favorite at LSP.Calhoun wins at 25% going from route to sprint.
7-Linda Diane  Her third effort at LSP gets the services of Lil Luzz today could be the difference maker.
6-My Money Honey   her speed figure improved 10 points from her last race one more effort like that puts her right in the middle of this race

Race 5:   $6,250 Maiden claimers   5.5f DIRT
my picks:    6-5-11
6-Head Over Boots  Third race of her form cycle, last race caught a wet surface. Has good early lick, takes this group gate to wire.
5-Wimbledon’s Gold  Takes a huge drop in class today, had some traffic issues in last start.
11-Im Not Shy  Trained by Asmussen, taking a big drop in class today. Asmussen’s 22% going from route to sprint.

race 6: $6,250 claimers   7f DIRT
my picks:   1-5-3
1-Shiasgold Lady Drops in class & goes from turf to dirt Garcia is 12% with this move but a +1.53 ROI.
5-Dixie Carrousel  Was too ambitiously placed last start, back where she belongs & Lil Luzz along for the ride.
3-Eaton’s Boogie   Second race back from a lay-off. Caught a wet surface last out, and will be closing fast tonight.


.50 pick 5:
6:1,3,5
7: 1,2
8: 2,6,8
9: 1,3,5
10:1,2,5,7


race 7:   OPT $35,000 CLM    5f TURF
my picks: 2-1
2-Morning Snow  **BEST BET** won his last race very impressively and recorded a 91 BRIS speed figure. His Dam has produced two turf winners, Caldwell is 12% first time on the green.
1-entry  Either half could be a threat to my best bet, but in this case I’m playing a cold 2-1 exacta.


$1 pick 4:
7:    1,2
8:    2,6,8
9:    1,3,5
10:   1,2,5,7


race 8:   $6,250 Claimers   6.5f DIRT
my picks:   2-6-12
2-Three Eyed Raven  Even though he broke a bit slow, he still won his first out. Diodoro 26% with MDN winners last race. Breaks from the rail which is winning at 37%.
6-My Father’s Eyes Second race back from a lay-off for Asmussen.
8-Cairo King First time in the Pish barn & he’s 24% first off the claim, third off the lay-off 15%.

race 9:   ALW   6f DIRT
my picks:    1-3-5
1-Neon Dreams 3-1-1-0 at LSP just missed coming off a layoff. Will have lots of speed to close into.
3-Nahtical Gem Looks like the speed of the speed in this race trained by Assman & ridden by his son Keith.
5-Visual Magic Another one with big speed, broke maiden in last Caldwell 27% MDN winner last race

race 10: OPT Claimers $20,000 1 13/16 TURF
my picks: 5-7-2-1
5-Prospector Fever   15-6-2-4 over the sod  3-0-2-0 at LSP, and has the perfect running style for this marathon.
7-Sonic Boom  Will be on the front end, if allowed to slow it up could take this bunch gate to wire.
2-Handsome Honey   Will be running mid pack & will be winding up as they turn for home 

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