Turfway Racing Analysis- Thursday Feb 6th 2020- By Hunter Ulwelling

Race 1- 1st #3 Tay Town is sitting at 2/1.  The homebred owned by Charles Fipke has been running better at this level, with two second place finishes in a row.  Maybe now will be the time she breaks her maiden after those two races.

2nd #7 Anima is sometimes in the money, but can’t seem to break her maiden.  A fairly expensive purchase with quality breeding, she just hasn’t brought a winning performance yet, but blinkers come off here.

3rd #4 Live it Up was a $2K purchase who ran better on the class drop at Turfway.  I think she’s capable of hitting the board here for the second time ever if she can run back to her last race.  I’m curious why she didn’t go for much at auction.

Race 2- 1st #7 Peekacho is going to be tough to beat at even money.  On the board twenty-three out of thirty-two races is spectacular, always a consistent effort from this one.  Just won a stakes here last out as well. He’s a nice gelding.

2nd #9 Gladtobehere has only been off the board once here out of six starts.  Another older, fairly consistent gelding. He’s by Super Saver out of an Empire Maker mare.  Trainer is hitting at a nice percentage too.

3rd #3 Barin looks the best from the rest of the horses at this level.  I’m not sure how he feels about the synthetic surface being that his only race on it was a fifth-place finish, but he wasn’t beaten by much and had come from out east.

Race 3- 1st #7 More Cowbell looks alright for this field on paper, coming from the $10K claiming level down to the $7,500 level isn’t much, but it could help.  Julie Burke is aboard, looking for her second win of the meet.  

2nd #10 Redhot Katie appreciated the class drop two back, where she dropped in class and won.  She came back to run a decent second place finish, but was easily beat by the winner. I think she could win here, likes the track.

3rd #8 Skip and a Hop runs decent at this level too, most of the time here she shows up to be in the money.  I think she’s worth a show bet sitting at 8/1. She can run some good races sometimes, but she’s tough to gage.

Race 4- 1st #2 Enthroned drops in for the tag for the first time.  The three-year-old daughter of Empire Maker is going to have value later on now that her sire is gone.  But her performances have been lacking, pretty poor performances. Maybe she’ll improve here.

2nd #10 Fireside Kitten is a homebred for the Ramsey’s.  Ran better when dropped in for the tag last out, which was good.  She comes back to run in the same spot, the winner in her race last out was much the best.  Hopefully things will continue to go well here.

3rd #1 Beckinsale drops in class, and gets the blinkers on after some pretty disappointing performances.  It’s a shame with how good her breeding is that she isn’t able to be a little faster, but maybe she’ll be better now.

Race 5- 1st #7 Miss is Zippy has ran two second place finishes in a row, and the horses that beat her were pretty solid.  I like how the daughter of City Zip is gradually improving and I think it’s her turn to get the win.

2nd #Sa Font Salada comes from Gulfstream with a new trainer.  The competition there can be pretty stiff, and her first two races at Churchill were much better.  It’s good to see her back in Kentucky, hopefully she likes the synthetic.

3rd #3 Auntie Mabel has only run once but she only lost by a length.  I think her stallion Bayern has potential to be good too (he’s a bit newer) but I am looking forward to watching his offspring.  Ran a 61 Beyer which is respectable for a maiden here.

Race 6- 1st #6 Cattle Krys is a nice mare for this level.  Ten wins from thirty-five starts is a lot, and the connections often time try to protect her from claiming races.  Two starts on the synthetic, one win and one second.

2nd #5 Ameribelle is very lightly raced with only eleven starts at the age of five.  She hasn’t accomplished much because of this, but her last two races have been pretty good.  She just missed last out by a neck and won before that.

3rd #3 Spearette has forty-nine starts under her belt at the age of six, so the complete opposite of her opponent.  Seems like Turfway, most of her efforts are decent but she does throw in the occasional dud performance which makes me reluctant to take her.

Race 7- 1st #5 Say It Sweetly shows a lot of promise after her respectable two wins in a row.  Her worst race was a fourth place finish beaten by twelve lengths but in ten starts, she’s done a pretty good job.  I like her sire Shanghai Bobby a lot too.

2nd #8 Urban Insight finally improved last out after some mediocre races.  The competition she was facing was intense, especially at Keeneland, so I am trying not to knock her too much for those races.  This is a good spot for her.

3rd #11 Giro Kate has a tough task breaking from the far outside but she proved to be a nice bargain for $2,700 (she’s made almost $80K), but ran a nice race last out and only lost by a length.  She looks good here.

Race 8- 1st #11 Beach Hut likes the track and is a consistent gelding.  He lately hasn’t been performing up to his usual par, but is also fresh off of a five month layoff, so maybe that will help now that he’s had an out.

2nd #4 Strong Yen drops in for the tag this time which should help.  He also switches trainers here, but his new trainer isn’t having much luck this meet either.  Hopefully things can get turned around here.

3rd #6 Get Em Up Scout won two back but didn’t seem to duplicate that performance last out.  Hoping it was just a poor effort and he can bounce back. Unraced at Turfway or on the synthetic which is a little bit of a concern.

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