Turfway Park Racing Analysis- Dec 27, 2018- By Shawn Murphy

Race 1

8 -2 -1

8- big time drop in class this week and did show good speed. Will have the advantage of the outside post for his second try over the surface. 

2- won last out with a good figure after being dropped in class. Good figures from the trainer after a win and should give the top pick a run. 

1- this well traveled horse should also like the drop in class and will make it interesting. Looks like a chalk triple. 

Race 2

6-7-2

6- give this filly another shot, she was even money last race and did not run a lick. In with weaker and should be stronger this race after having a race over the track. 

7- was almost the top pick with the wins over this track and the drop down. The lay-off was the deciding factor. 

2- had a good race here recently and seems to always be in the hunt. 

Race 3

6- 10- 9

6- should be a competitive race as there are some strong barns looking for improvement in second starts. Great works reported from this colt from a high percentage barn. 

10- adds blinkers and drops in class. Should be more forwardly placed early and with the big drop should be able to pick up pieces in the lane. 

9- another Maker second timer that showed some talent in a higher range last start. You will see a better showing as he drops and faces much easier. 

Race 4

8- 7- 3

8- seems to love this class and should be sitting 4th or 5th going down the backstretch and be in great position heading into the lane. A great bet at 3-1 or higher. 

7- ran a big race last out and must love the track. Morning up a bit and may bounce off the top effort. 

3- a bit of a price to throw in here, always in the hunt and should be better second off a lay-off. 

Race 5 

4- 3- 9

4- should get a good price on this gelding, off a lay-off , drops in half and a great work for this high percentage outfit. One of my best for the night. Hopefully we can get 4-1

3- Another with a chance of a price. Good works off the lay-off and drops, seems to be my trend this evening. 

9- likes to be part of the finish but can’t seem to put it all together, picking up pieces as usual. 

Race 6

1- 7- 2

1- you have to take at least one Ward runner every night so here is mine. Ran a great race last out and I can see a replica happening here. 

7- did not have a good race last out but that was against much tougher. Looking for a easier spot and a better result. 

8- great race in last as there was 10 lengths back to third. Looking for him to once again be forwardly placed and be right there at the wire. 

Race 7

3- 5- 7

3- Another Ward entrant that could get a bit of a price. Race in some high end race (breeders cup) should be able to take this group 

5- had a nice race at this price last out and should progress from there. Also second off the lay-off. 

7- this mare likes the poly and should do well here. Looks like a great price play

Race 8

8- 9- 1

8- looking for a value play in the last. Great race last out and should progress at a slightly higher class. Lost by a head and note that there was 7 lengths back to 3rd

9- ran great off the claim and looking for the same. Good connections and the racing style fits. 

1- this 11 year old was almost my top pick as he is ultra consistent, likes the track and distance. 

Good luck, giddy up and don’t be afraid to use the top 3 in pick 3”s and there can be value doing the same in doubles. 

@shawn55murphy.   Happy New Year!

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