Oaklawn Park Racing Analysis — Thursday, March 21, 2019, by Stewart Winograd

1st: no opinion


2nd: 7-1-2
Superior’s Boy has had more success on turf than dirt but his first Oaklawn race was promising and he has a series of sharp workouts since.
Earnednevergiven had no chance versus Nuclear Option last time and fits with these.
E Rated probably needs a speed bias to win.


3rd: 5-1-8
Tiz A Sharpie was against the flow of the track last out and is bred to go long.
Canton Comet takes a needed drop in class.
A P Princess was rank in the mud and could improve off that effort.


4th: 7-3-6
Several of these horses exit the Maria Rose race.  Cowgirl Callie set the pace in that one.  None of the pace pressers are back for the rematch so she projects to have an easier time on the lead.
Evening Tide faced better and adds blinkers.
Triple Kapaula has been getting trounced by better and could wake up in softer company.


5th: 8-10-3
Ri Ri French Fry has disappointed twice at the meet but does have sharp early speed and should be able to hang on against Arkansas-breds sooner or later.
On Radar showed improved speed in his second race and is not yet a proven loser, as I am beginning to suspect of my top choice.
Candy Mon is a half-sister to two winners and the horses in this race with experience are nothing special.


6th: 11-10-7
Full of Grace stopped to a walk when overmatched in a route.  Back to her best distance.
D’tatway invades from Sunland where she was a factor in a stakes race.  
Madeforlife won good purse money in Louisiana-bred races at Delta Downs and is looking for a new home with that meet over.


7th: 2-9-4
Sweet Carli was game in Oaklawn debut and returns to Maiden Special Weight, a pattern I like.
Vercruysse, named after good handicapper Aaron, has shown little in two starts but connections are still treating her with respect.
Tipazar is a contender off most of her races, but she once was beaten by 18 lengths at 2/5 so her on-paper superiority is suspect.


8th: 10-6-1
Tres Equis  was a factor at the top of the stretch twice at the meet and could appreciate the switch back to a sprint.
Red Clay Magic surprised with a wire-to-wire effort versus softer last out.  This race doesn’t have an abundance of early speed so he could do it again.
Strolling is an obvious low-odds contender.

9th: 3-4-6
Luna Magic faced better and didn’t have a good pace setup last time.
Nicoles Classygirl will be closing with a rush.
Genithelamborghini drops in class, but it’s a more logical move than that of Curiouserncurisorser, whose connections are taking an 80% loss on right out of the bat.

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