Monmouth Park Racing Analysis — Saturday, June 1, 2019, by Jeff Byrnes

Race 1: CLAIMING $8,000 – $7,000 1 Mile & 70 Yards Picks: 1-2-7
Fake Frontier (#1): In the top 4 in ten straight races, has won from off the pace and close up before. With short field and run to first turn, don’t be surprised if he shows speed. 
Skipper Dancer (#2): Good jockey trainer combination, returns to favorite track. Trainer is 20% when away for 60 days. 32% in claiming races. Will be part of pace. 
High Flying Guy (#7): Four 2nds at Monmouth Park, good speed and workouts. Blinkers are off, trainer is 39% there. Gets Antonio Gallardo. 


Race 2: MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 4 1/2 Furlongs  Picks:  1-2-4
Sweet Melania (#1): Only horse with experience. Todd Pletcher is 30% with 2nd time starters. Rail post. Must use. 
Queen of Shades (#2): Jason Servis is 23% with 1st time starters and 30% with two year olds. Expect to show speed. 
Hopeful Growth (#4): Good workouts coming in. Trainer is 19% with first time starters. Good jockey trainer combo. 


Race 3:  CLAIMING $5,000 1 Mile & 70 Yards Picks: 6-3-4
Southern Touch (#6): Winner of two of last four starts. Has plenty of seed in field lacking it. Trainer is 33% in claimer repeats. Also 25% with last out winners. Must use. 
Hanna Due (#3): Has some speed, goes back two turns after two straight poor one turn performances. Has a win and a second at this distance. Good prime power. 


Race 4: CLAIMING $12,500-$10,500     1 1/16 (Turf) Picks: 7-4-1
Crown of Joy (#7): Three straight trifecta finishes including a win two back. Has two wins at Monmouth including one a class higher last year. Trainer is 22% when 3rd off the layoff. 
Dangerous Woman (#4): Drops from $22,000 to $12,000 today. Good gate speed and will show it. Consistent runner who doesn’t fold easily. Must use. 
Owesaycanyousee (#1): Drops in class and makes 2nd start off the layoff. Trainer is 23% there. Has a win at Monmouth and good works coming in. 

Race 5:  MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT    1 1/16 (Dirt)  Picks: 1-5-4
Fullness of Time (#1): Gets the rail and has good speed. Trainer is 25% when second off the layoff. Has faced tougher in the past. Pedigree suggests he should love two turns. Solid beyer numbers in 80’s. Jockey trainer combo is 29% must use. 
Ranger Up (#5): Three second and a third in four starts and gets a field not as tough as what he’s faced in the past. Will likely be controlling speed. Best power numbers in the field. Solid choice. 
Final Say (#4): Gets class relief and a track that should fit his style of run. Goes two turns for the first time and should appreciate the ground. 


Race 6: CLAIMING $12,500-$10,500 Six Furlongs  Picks: 1-2-4
Wrong Ben (#1): Ships in from New York and gets class relief. Won a $66,000 allowance race three pack. Plenty of speed, will be tough to catch. 
King Kranz (#2) Former stakes performance will get plenty of speed up front. Won four back at the $16,000 level. Good beyer numbers and has kick too close. 
Johnny U (#4): Won by seven lengths three weeks ago at Monmouth Park. Five of seven wins have come at this track. Good speed and can close too. 


Race 7:  WAIVER CLAIMING $16,000 – $14,000               1 1/16 (Turf)  Picks: 6-7-11
Port Salerno (#6): Plenty of speed in this race and a drop in class helps her chances. Good post with speed to outside. Trainer is 28% when 2nd after the claim. 
New Found Treasure (#7): Drops to $16,000 and has good stalking pressure in her. Fast filly who flying late. 
Hand Rail (#11): Ships in from New York, gets outside post, and has speed to chase. Good prime power numbers and good jockey trainer combo. 


Race 8: ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING $16,000 Six Furlongs  Picks: 1-6-2
Chateau (#1): Stumbled badly last time and lost all shot. Before that, he won three straight by combined 15 lengths. Gets the rail and the speed of the field. Jason Servis trained. Must use. 
Business Cycle (#6): Gets a fast track today and class relief. Three seconds and very consistent. Chad Brown is 29% when 90 days or more away. Will need speed in front of him. Has to catch the one. 
Gorgeous Saint (#2): Good gate speed and drops in allowance company today. Jockey is 22% on the meet. Can hang around at the end. 


Race 9:  $75,000 Tale of the Cat Stakes 1 1/16 (Turf)  Picks: 4-3-1
Solidify (#4): Makes U.S debut for Graham Motion today. Graded stakes winner in Canada, has good speed android connections. Trainer is 20% when 90 days or more off. Likely will stalk the pace, and get first run. Must use. 
Empire of War (#3): Stakes placed at Aqueduct last time out and has good speed and likely will control the pace. If he gets along by himself. He can go a long way. Joe Bravo and Todd Pletcher team up. Good team. 
Standard Deviation (#1): Makes turf debut today after two poor efforts on dirt. Former Breeders’ Cup runner last year and G1 placed. Chad Brown is 26% first time grass. Has closing kick and needs a solid pace up front. Pedigree suggest turf could be no problem. We’ll see. 


Race 10:  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING $20,000 5 1/2 Furlongs  Picks: 6-7-8


Race 11:  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING $25,000 1 1/16 Miles  Picks: 6-3-7


Race 12: MAIDEN CLAIMING $30,000 – $25,000 Five Furlongs (Turf) Picks: 4-2-7

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