| RACE 1 1 WINDSUN SILVER has hit the board just once in 6 starts and obviously has issues, having only made it to the track 6 times since starting to race, he’s really a guess, but he was favored last time we saw him, and if ready off the qualifier could be heard from, watch the board. 3 JUST WAVE GOODBYE got away slowly last time for Marty Fine and nearly swooped them all for the win, he’ll be badly overbet off that effort, but I supposed could be better 2nd time out, prefer others because of price. 4 FOX VALLEY RIVIERA always finds one better, much prefer others but his pace presence makes this race interesting, one day he’ll find the wire but don’t take a short price. 5 ARUKIDINME CABBIE is no bargain at a short price but has hinted at some ability if he can just stay flat. 6 R U TALKIN will make his pari-mutuel debut for Barry Bird off a slow qualifier, prefer to watch one rather than take a short price on a guess. BOTTOM LINE: Tough race, the board should offer clues, some of these have had their chances though RACE 2 1 REDHOT N SPORTY qualified on 12/13 behind a horse that won last time out, early speed from an inside post is a positive, but the time off is a concern, should get a price though. 2 MORNING HAS BROKEN could be overbet if the 6 wins Race 1, but I don’t care for that one that much and this one exits the same most recent qualifier, for what it’s worth the 3rd place finisher of that qualifier hasn’t exactly raced well, but it was on the half-mile track, so perhaps grasping a bit. 3 HEY SWEETIE might never win but they drop him back down to the now or never spot once again after two tries against tougher than this, not a horse I’d recommend, but was left alone on the tote the last couple so if that ends up being the case perhaps she becomes more interesting. 4 LATTE GRANDE is a guess but gets McClure and he and Gillis nearly 60% ITM leave out at your own risk, but hard to gauge what kind of price this one should be, watch the 2 in the opener as they exit the same qualifier that likely gave us no hints. 5 LED FOOT has been terrible in both her starts and was even bet in one of them, the step up in class last time made no sense, the drop back down today though, does make sense, a new pilot, should be left alone on the board, interesting if drifts. BOTTOM LINE: We may have more information after the 1st race, but once again the tote board is going to give you clues, if the 5 LED FOOT goes off say 7-1 or higher, I’d have a small wager on him but this field doesn’t excite me much from a betting perspective RACE 3 2 DONATO LANE was the easiest kind of winner last time out off the trainer change and is right back in the box in the drawn in the condition of NW 50K lifetime, draws well, could be the one they all have to beat once again this week. 4 POWER AND GRACE won last time, somehow, but let’s review what happened, she was caught chasing a runoff on the front end that completely stopped, when she inherited the lead, the 3rd place horse stopped too causing all sorts of chaos and trips in behind, when it sorted itself out in the stretch, she had an insurmountable lead, and still nearly got beat under the wire, add to that he paid $18, and is $8 on the ML tonight, complete play against from a betting standpoint, DON’T GO TO THE FUNERAL IF YOU DIDN’T GO TO THE WEDDING!! 5 PENNANT SEELSTER is a tad interesting, won despite the break 3 back, bumped up to this notch for a no try on 12/1, something went wrong in that mile on December 8th and I can’t tell exactly what it was but we haven’t seen him since, I’m going to hope he’s better tonight, his odds will be great at double digits, I’ll take a shot, knowing full well he could be all or nothing. 7 CANTABERNET can’t be recommended by me, but is 1st time Moreau BOTTOM LINE: 4 POWER AND GRACE not only doesn’t have to win, but probably won’t, and could miss the ticket altogether, a solid play against at anything remotely close to that ML of 3-1WAGERING SUGGESTIONS: 5 PENNANT SEELSTER AT 10-1 OR MORE, have some fun without this 4 as the chalk RACE 4 1 DELOREAN SEELSTER won at this level 3 back, was SCRATCHED JUDGES 2 back, and then made a mess of the start last time out as the betting favorite, not sure I’d go right back to him, but I guess he fits, at a short price though I’d be cautious. 4 SPORTS CHARM was given back to back no tries from outside posts where he finished well enough to suggest with the move inside he’ll be heard from tonight, the board will almost certainly agree, and 4-1 is probably a fair enough price today. 5 ROCKABILLY CHARM is okay when he races, but it’s 3 weeks between starts again and it’s hard to know if he’ll fire, McCabe attracts McNair which is odd to see, but I’d guess this one will be heard from if ready to go today as he has some back class. 7 AGED CHEDAR HANOVER was done in from the hard push to the front last time out, and perhaps the off-track wasn’t to his favor either, he was well backed that day, and should be a better price tonight, my only concern is 0-8 over the track as he always seems to find one better here. 8 BADLANDS BADBOY left but a flurry of others did as well leaving him relegated to 4th, and eventually landing him a first over trip into the 8-5 favorite who was on the front end, and that just didn’t work out, but he hung around well enough that a better trip could get him there, but post 8 doesn’t help. BOTTOM LINE: WIDE OPEN RACE, DON’T TAKE A SHORT PRICE, 8 BADLANDS BADBOY AT 6-1 IS FAIR WAGERING SUGGESTIONS TRIFECTA 58 / 58 / 14710 58 / 14710 / 58 SUPERFECTA 8 / 1457 / 1457 / 1457 RACE 5 1 MISTER MUSCLE probably wins last week without the miscue, now jumps up 3 classes (on paper) and draws the rail, could be forward at a big price, but risky and may not be this good either. 5 MYSTERY BET is in good form, finds the right field to make some noise again, BUT this is tougher, IF not favored becomes interesting. 6 DAYLON MAGICIAN is the one to beat, just as was the case last week, the drop in class makes him tough to look past though in this spot, and I’m sure he’ll be on the engine. 8 KAMERAN HANOVER I thought would need the start last week and he nearly got the job done, tonight lands in a spot where he could be heard from with a good trip, I still think he’s a bit cheap but as a 4YO he could also be getting better, strong consideration. BOTTOM LINE is they like to over bet blowout winners, and that could be the case for the 5, leaving value on the 8 KAMERAN HANOVER AT 5-1 OR MOREWAGERING SUGGESTIONSUPERFECTA 68 / 68 / 15 / ALL 68 / 15 / 68 / ALL RACE 6 6 LYONS HEDGEABET is simply better off a helmet, whether he gets that kind of a trip in a short field remains to be seen but he’s in good form and is probably the one to beat, but last time was the time. 7 THRILLONTHEBEACH is pace and trip dependent, draws the outside and is always overbet. IF he gets left alone on the board, pay attention, if not, PLAY AGAINST. 1 PROTECT BLUE CHIP is a bit interesting especially if the price drifts, my opinion is he doesn’t like the off track and his last is MUCH better than it looks on paper because of it, he’s the one I’ll key in the exotics if I get that 8-1 on the ML or higher. 4 ODDS ON STEPHANIE made the front after brushing first over last week after starting from the 2nd tier, obviously, she’ll be forward tonight and perhaps she’ll be a major player, but I can’t endorse her as the ML choice. 5 SHADOW WORLD finally gets a driver change from Filion, and tonight’s the night she won’t be allergic to air, I think she makes the front, and I’m betting she won’t get pinned to the pylons today, and I’ll go back to the well if I get 9-2 here in the final. BOTTOM LINE: THIS GROUP IS INCONSISTENT, BUT THE 6 IS THE ONE TO BEATWAGERING SUGGESTIONS 5 SHADOW WORLD AT 9-2 OR MORETRIFECTAS 5 / 6 / 147 5 / 147 / 6 RACE 7 4 GREAT MAGIC fits okay at this level and can be excused for his last effort as he didn’t have to like the track, draws well for the 1st time in a while and while the 1-19 over the track and 1-28 on the year is tough to swallow, underneath makes some sense. 1 MIGHTY NICKY goes out for Per Henriksen on the drop in class and attracts McClure who has driven this one just once, a win, has some back class, usable, at a price. 5 DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY has kept good company, but the races have left something to be desired, drops to a winning level, interesting but not at a short price. 6 ADVERSITY is going to take some money and draws well enough to be considered at this level, but he hasn’t won in a LONG time, be careful. BOTTOM LINE: TOUGH RACE, LET PRICE BE GUIDE, THE 4 IS INTERESTING AS A KEY AT A PRICETRIFECTAS 4 / 156 / ALL 4 / ALL / 156 156 / 4 / ALL RACE 8 2 ON A SUNNY DAY dropped out of the Preferred and should have won, but was given a conservative steer sometimes referred to as the double dip steer, he stays in this class for one more night, he’s much the horse to beat tonight, and likely will win. 6 MAJOR MUSCLE is really sharp right now and if anyone can step up and makes some noise it could be this one, not that I’d want a bunch against this chalk but this one is interesting as he SHOULD be forward early on. 7 BUZZ will probably get close in here, but what was his excuse last time? Prefer others. BOTTOM LINE: TOUGH CHALK WAGERING SUGGESTIONS: NONE RACE 9 1 LARRY’S PETROCK like usual was given too much to do and even with the draw inside he’s tough to recommend given the trip / pace dependency he requires, perhaps tonight is the night they let him go off the gate? Would be a guess, tough call. 4 LEGAL POWER is okay and could work out a nice trip from this good post today, at 4-1 he’s hard not to like, but good luck getting that. 5 BEACHIN LINDY got the job done last week as the favorite but it wasn’t easy, I’m against that whole race in this final, but I also realize he’ll be a price so I can be more forgiving. 6 PHANTOM SEELSTER has done nothing wrong, and simply looked beat last week a few times, and still won comfortably, way the horse to beat. 8 R BAZINGGA got room way too late in the mile last week to beat the winner, but finished with interest and a similar setup pace wise today could do this one favors, the driver change is a concern as it’s showing that McNair likely chose the better horse, and I happen to agree, but this one will be the better price. BOTTOM LINE: PHANTOM SEELSTER will take some beating, but he’s not a “lock” I don’t think.WAGERING SUGGESTIONSSUPERFECTA 8 / 6 / 14 / ALL 6 / 8 / 14 / ALL RACE 10 3 TRY TRY AGAIN has faced tougher, and drops to a more favorable spot tonight, but at what price do you consider too low? 5-2 seems too short to start with and I’m not sure he’ll be much more than that. 1 PARKHILL NONSTOP hates getting his picture taken at anything other than the bottom level, but he can sure get a check at a price, usable, even on top IF a price. 2 ETRUSCAN HANOVER is anyone’s guess every week, he could win, he could blow up, he could race well, he could race terrible, you’ll never know, but at a short price, just toss. 8 HEMI SEELSTER was bet hard last week off the long layoff and ended up stopping to a walk late in the mile, tough to recommend as he immediately drops as if to say they are giving up, tough call. BOTTOM LINE: The chalk is beatable, and you should try to beat, the 1 is a good enough price to consider at 6-1 or more.WAGERING SUGGESTIONS BET 1 PARKHILL NONSTOP AT 6-1 RACE 11 9 BARN ONE from post 9 as the ML choice off two wins by a nostril is certainly worth playing against. 10 MAJO LOU BEKA left last week as I expected him too and he stopped in the lane, willing to forgive as the track was off and the Fine barn has been heating up, driver change = bigger price, must use on your tickets. 8 SHADOW OF LINDY has surrendered perfect trips of late in the stretch and with poor post again tonight it’s hard to envision him turning the tables. 7 STOLEN ART is in good form but this group might be a bit tougher, you SHOULD get a price (5-1) to find out. 6 OSIRIS BLUE CHIP is probably the one to beat, but he’ll always be over bet, favored in his last 6, has just 1 win, prefer others. 1 CAPTAIN DRAGON is a bit interesting, but you must demand a price BOTTOM LINE: THE 9 IS A GOOD PLAY AGAINST ON THE WIN END WAGERING SUGGESTIONS: 10 MAJO LOU BEKA AT 9-2 OR MORETRIFECTA 10 / 167 / 16789 167 / 10 / 16789 MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYONE, HAPPY BOXING DAY, AND GOOD LUCK AT MOHAWK |