sunny & 97 degrees
track: fast
turf: firm
race 1: $20,000 MDN Claimers
1 mile turf
my picks: 1-9-4
1-Katama Bay taking a drop in class & draws the rail. Elliott will send & there’s no way we get the morning line of 8/1. I’m hoping for 5/2.
9-Reach the Moon back on the turf & ran two nice races at Fair Grounds in MSW company, today only getting $20,000 runners.
4-Ballyhack taking a class drop as well, could pick up all the pieces if the pace gets too hot.
race 2: $20,000 MDN Claimers TX Breds
6f dirt
my picks: 6-9-1 entry
6-Yippi Yi O Ti A ran ok in his first career start at Sam Houston vs special weights, drops today & we should get a very fair price.
9-Unbridled Posse ran very well in his first time over the track, just missing by a nose at 38.80/1. Will be 4/1 today, and should get a nice trip.
1-entry 1A Golden Heat is better half, has had some nice closing efforts in the past, and goes turf to dirt.
race 3: MSW
5.5f dirt
my picks: 1-4-7
1-Awesome Galaxy trainer Joesph Smith is 23% going turf to dirt. This one will try to take these wire to wire.
4-Comic morning line 3/5, first time in Steve Asmussen barn and has two previous efforts at BEL last one big improvement. nice workout 6/14 at Lone Star, going four furlongs in 46.3.
7-Glorious Rose first time starter, dam has 3 winners from 3 starters & 1 stakes winner.
race 4: $15,000 claimers
5.5 dirt
my picks: 4-7-2
4-Special Ending last seen at Sam Houston running against 30k claiming company, dropping today. She broke her MDN running at Lone Star in MSW company.
7-Sassy Kenzie Girl the “other” Mindy Willis trained horse in the race, my top pick is owned & trained by her. This one has won a race over this track.
2-Tristan’s Gold trained by Karl Broberg, won easy last start which was first time over this surface. She’s stepping up today and will be heard from early.
race 5: $15,000 claimers
1 1/16 turf
my picks: 1-entry 9-3
1-entry powerful entry from M & M racing the straight 1 is coming into the race on a 2 race winning streak, breaks from post 6 will be very tough. The 1A breaks from post 11 & will shoot right to the front.
9-Times Square was making a nice move & got stuck in “traffic” will be flying late.
3-Zing Zang hasn’t run well in a while, second race back from a freshening, if he fires will light up the tote board.
pick 5:
5: 1,9
6: 3,7,9
7: 4,7
8: 9,10
9: 1,4,8,12
$48 for .50
race 6: $20,000 claimers
1 1/16 dirt
my picks: 9-3-7
9-Potomac taking a much needed drop in class, started four times this year & yet to hit the board. I expect a big effort here.
3-Apalachee Bay first time running at LSP, didn’t do much running in first return from a refreshing. He will be coming late.
7-Catdaddy drops in class today after facing tougher at OP. A change of scenery will do this 5yo gelding a world of good.
pick 4:
6: 3,7,9
7: 4,7
8: 9,10
9: 1,4,8,12
$48 for $1
race 7: MDN $7,500 claimers
1 mile dirt
my picks: 7-4-6
7-Time is Now taking a big drop in class for Diodoro. It’s now or never for him
4-Rancho Bargo ran well in the mud last start, showed improved speed & tired . Should have a better effort today, Lane Luzzi rides
6-Jame’s Moonshine Stewart Elliott gets back the mount back, the Hartman barn off to a slow start.
race 8: $7,500 claimers
7f dirt
my picks: 9-10-4
9-Belle Strike **best bet** dropping in class today, Asmussen is 23% going from a route to sprint
10-Breezy Bee first time in Broberg barn, he’s 26% 1st after claim, and 22% when adding blinkers.
4-Dabblin Channel taking a needed class drop, Danny Sorenson riding for Smith 1/2 last 60 days with a +$56.40 ROI.
race 9: allowance fillies & mares
5f turf
my picks: 1-8-4-12
1-Lady Gwen Davidson is 26% as a beaten favorite, and the rail is winning at 20% in turf sprints.
8-Appolina moving up in class, has big speed. She’s been on the sidelines 138 days.
4-Lookin Sharp Stewart Elliott riding for Asmussen has been dangerous in the last 60 days: 21% win 49% ITM.
12-No Mas Tequila first time on the turf and third off the layoff for Broberg. Dam has 1 turf winner.