Lone Star Park Racing Analysis — Monday, July 20, 2020, by Mike Northcut

Race 1:  TX Bred ALW

1 mile TURF

my picks:   4-3-9

4-Capt St Jacques  broke his MDN second start over this course, stretching out from 5f to a mile. Elliott stays along for the ride, solid selection here.

3-John Dough  third off the lay-off & bad on the green, only start over this surface was a win in MSW company.

9-Kashears  broke his MDN at Sam Houston, has run here three times & has finished third two of the attempts.

Race 2:  TX Bred $5,000 claimers

6f DIRT

my picks:    6-8-2

6-Meme Jo   this 10yo gelding is in fine form, as the winner of three straight races all in $5,000 company. no reason he doesn’t get his 4th in a row today

8-Beta Jet   has some early lick & will stay around to fill out the exotics.

2-Kats Second Silver   been knocking on the door 2 of his last 3 starts.

10-2-4-2 at LSP

trained by Broberg

Race 3:   $7,500 MDN Claimers

1 mile DIRT

my picks:    9-1-4

hate to say this, not a stellar group here & someone has to win so….

9-Queen of Carnival   blinkers come off her today, Pish doing ok this meet 67-7-11-13. Lane Luzzi rides

1-Unlawful Assembly   third off the lay-off & Diego stays aboard.

4-Georgiano   going turf to dirt, dropping in class & Elliott picks up the mount.

Race 4:   TX Bred  MSW

5f DIRT

my picks:   6-7-8

6-Fearless Bling   has had two races both of them he’s had problems getting away from the gate. missed by a head in last & Elliott stays around.

7-Wings For Eno   ran well in his first out over a muddy surface, today he gets a fast surface.

8-Strawsuponrequest   Straws coming out of the same race as the 7 & the 7 beat him by a length.

Race 5:   Starter Opt Clm $15,000

1 mile DIRT

my picks:   3-5-2

3-Soaring Now   this 6yo mare comes back off a two month layoff. She’s 3-1-2-0 at Lone Star and 18-3-4-4 at the distance. She will sit just off the pace & kick it in just in time.

5-Bold Rey   she will be the favorite & deservedly so. winner of 3/4 last races only loss was by a head. in great form at Lone Star, with a 3-for-4 record.

2-Frozen Hannah   another hard knocking mare, she’s 18-6-4-4 at the distance & 2-1-1-0 at Lone Star.

.50 pick five:

5:    2,3,5

6:    5,7,9

7:    4,6

8:    4,5

9:    1,2,4,5

$72 

Race 6:  TX Bred MSW

1 1/16 TURF

my picks:   5-7-9

5-West Texas Song   only three works for his first start. Trainer having a tough meet 14-0-0-2 but this one can run.

7-Solar City   had quite a few chances. His best race was at Sam Houston with $50,000 maiden claimers. Competitive with this bunch.

9-Wittness   his fourth grass start, nothing to write home about just yet, but does have upside and can round things out.

$1 pick four:

6:   5,7,9

7:   4,6

8:   4,5

9:   1,2,4,5

$48

Race 7:   ALW

5.5f  DIRT

my picks:   6-4-7

6-Touch Blue   this 4yo filly coming into this race off a 8 month layoff. Has some very nice works, she’s sitting on a big effort today.

4-Sweet Mary M   5-1-2-0 at the distance, she had big early speed.

7-Cherished   trained by Asmussen & Elliott is back on her. She has some early lick, but a notch below these top two.

Race 8:  ALW

5.5f  DIRT

my picks:   4-5-3

4-Impact Player  **best bet**   last two been on a wet surface, today back on fast track takes these wire to wire 

5-Double Barrel Man   13-2-3-2 at the distance and trained by Broberg, will be flying late to fill out the exacta.

3-Restoring Hope   has some early lick, but needs this one been off since last September. might need one.

race 9:   TX Bred ALW

1 mile TURF

my picks:   1-4-2-5

1-Miss B   JR having a good meet 51-11-9-4. Ivan will have her in position early, rolls by them all turning for home.

4-Tell Me U Love Me   first time on the green, she’s got some speed to take them a long way

2-Dustwhirl Wonder   another one trying the green for the first time . she will be in mid-pack and will be flying late 

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