Laurel Park Racing Analysis- Friday Dec 7, 2018- By Joseph Hansen

December 7, 2018
Race 1: 5-4-7 (MdSpWt 40k, 2 yo, 1 Mile)
1. Candy Store (5): Motion colt put up a nice Beyer (70) on debut running 3 rd to a next-out first-level
allowance winner; both the 4 th place runner and last place runner came back to be second next out
2. Itgot Grandma (4): solid debut in NY where he was 4 th behind a sharp Alan Goldberg firster
3. Holly Sun (7): The other Motion horse (a dangerous angle) in here is a firster by Ghostzapper out
of an Arch mare and gets a nice outside post

Race 2: 4-2-1 (Clm 12500(12.5.10.5)N2L, 5.5F)
1. Poplar Avenue (4): he’s a speedball who hasn’t stayed, but slight drop in class should be the
answer
2. Boondoggle (2): not a bad result in latest considering he was wide throughout, pressed the pace
and faded late; his last 2 dirt starts put him in the mix
3. Tale of the Blade (1): Three year old has been on the improve recently and figures to be right up
on the pace from the rail; his only 2 starts away from Parx leave something to be desired

Race 3: 1-3-7 (Md 16000 (16-14), 7F)
1. Mike the Tiger (1): Appears this 4 year old has had some issues considering he’s only made one
start this year, and that was July; however, that start resulted in his career best Beyer by a good
amount and represents the best last-out figure in the field; runner-up from that July race has
developed into a pretty solid local allowance horse who shows up in the finale today
2. Dr. Cerrato (3): Claudio off the claim moves this one up from the 10k level and turns around in 2
weeks; don’t think the rise in class is a big deal against this bunch today
3. We Made It (7): cut back to 7 furlongs today should help considering he took the lead at the turn
in September at this level and faded; last 2 dirt tries, both at this level, resulted in on-the-board
finishes

Race 4: 4-5-8 ((F)Clm 5000, 7F)
1. Gimme Kimmy (4): Maryland Million was a nice jumping off point for this mare as she’s put up
2 of her better Beyers in quite a while subsequent to that start, though they were at the beaten
level; slight bump in class not a big worry as these are the bottom of the barrel claimers anyway;
no knocks on her current form and might prove to be a little value
2. Tiger Eyes (5): descent on the claiming ladder continues for this one who was competitive against
starter allowance and open allowance company at this time last year; Farrior’s made his money
with one, just trying to get a win
3. Springtime Wind (8): This is a good level for her with a win and 3 rd in her last 3 starts

Race 5: 4-10-8 (Md 25000, 2 yo, 1 Mile)
1. Samadi Blue (4): Difficult race to decipher; this one is dropping into the 25k level for the first
time and finished in last like he’ll appreciate the slight stretchout to a mile
2. Liar (10): exits a common race with many of his competitors where he made a wide middle move
to enter contention and fought all the way to the finish, missing only by a length; the guess here is
that he’ll go off at similar odds and therefore present some value
3. Astro Pop Kid (8): Another one taking a drop and he’s already had success at this level (a runner
up finish and a close 4 th ); only one with 2-turn experience so the distance should not be a concern

Race 6: 5-3-4 ((F)Md 16000, 7F)

1. War Tweet (5): Another low level maiden race here; this filly’s done most of her running on the
green, but her last was an off-the-turf affair at the 25k level where she was on a pressured pace
and faded to third; expect improvement 2 nd off the bench and the slight cut-back
2. Sipping Champagne (3): possible value play as she’s been on the board in her 2 efforts at this
condition and she’s been on the improve
3. Liz’s Smile (4): Highest last-out Beyer by quite a distance in last and takes the drop; she’ll be a
short price

Race 7: 5-4-1 (Alw 42000N1X, 6F)
1. Forced (5): This one has one way to go and that’s fast; figures to get away from the field and the
last Beyer is a stand-out; he’s kept solid company, including a close 2 nd to Home Run Maker who
we discussed here last week
2. Sir Alfred (4): I would anticipate a stalking trip for this one on the cut-back; he’ll present value
with his last 2 off-form finishes
3. Westerdale (1): Annihilated a maiden special weight field in NY as the 3/5 favorite in last, but
that was back in February; Morley trainees usually fire pretty well here though

 

Race 8: 5-8-4 (OC 50k/N1X, 5.5F)
1. Successful Zip (5): Vera goes for the double here with this colt who flashed nice ability at
Monmouth earlier this summer, enough to make him the favorite in the Sapling where he was 2 nd ,
3 clear of 3 rd ; step up to G1 Champagne was too much, he’ll find this group much more to his
liking
2. Sunman (8): comes out of the best juvenile race at the meet so far where he was backed pretty
well; just kind of ran around the track but this field, other than the top pick, is much softer
3. Win Win Win (4): Big Beyer on debut with a bullet work to back it up, certainly merits a chance
here

Race 9: 10-5-7 (OC25k/SAL25k, 5.5F)
1. Mr. Fixit (10): tough to separate a whole bunch of these, including some 3 year olds who might
be tailing off, but this one seems to be getting better, including a close 3 rd at this level last out
2. Onemoregreattime (5): this is one of those 3 year olds who’s Beyers have gone in south the last 2
starts, but no shame in getting pressed into defeat by Lewisfield last out, and was 3 rd 2-back to the
in-form Mesotherm (his 2 nd of 3 wins in a row); horses seem to be coming out of the Maryland
Million pretty well, and I’m hoping the same for this one
3. High Roller (7): this danced all the local dances last year in his 3 year old campaign on the
Preakness path including a stakes win (note his company as a 2 year old as well); only has the 1
start this year, but Capuano is having a tremendous meet and would not be surprised to see this one improve

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