Churchill Downs Racing Analysis — Sunday, May 24, 2020, by Hunter Ulwelling

Race 1

1st #2 Check Six comes from Oaklawn Park and drops in class.  The competition was quite stiff there for her, but three back she ran a nice fourth only losing by a length.  Never raced at Churchill.

2nd #7 Molly’s Game also comes from Oaklawn, but she didn’t run as well there as Check Six did.  Has a win over the Churchill surface which helps her case, and this is overall an easier spot.

3rd #8 C Islandsurprise is a fairly accomplished mare, older and more experienced compared to the rest of the field.  She’s had some time off, and has a very consistent track record here at Churchill.

Race 2

1st #7 It’s All Cash takes a significant class drop and is trying a new track.  Jerry Hollendorfer trains this daughter of Verrazano who has still has quite a bit of improving to go.  I think this spot is a step in the right direction for her.

2nd #6 Annoula comes from Turfway with a second place and a couple months off.  The competition was easier than this field, but she has a new trainer and has had two months off.  The refreshing should help her.

3rd #3 Coco Caballo was a $55K purchase at the OBS Sale last year and has not showed much in two starts.  The daughter of Twirling Candy will appreciate the class drop, she is trained by Ron Moquett, who has already won one race this meet.

Race 3-

1st #6 Cashanova is trained by Brad Cox who is sitting at a hot 43% for the meet.  Last out this one seemed to struggle a bit, but is dropping a little in class and is at a different track.  So, I have faith in this one.

2nd #7 War Film looks like the clear winner of the race, but after being off for ten months and coming out of a graded race, I just think he will need an out.  Steve Asmussen usually has his horses ready to rock, and I am sure this one is ready.

3rd #11 Spanned looks good too, but been off for about nine months.  He’s owned by the Ramsey’s, and ridden by Jose Ortiz, so top connections.  Really lightly raced for the age of five with only five starts and lots of long layoffs has me a bit concerned.

Race 4

1st #2 Miss is Zippy I remember from Turfway this spring.  She’s got potential, but these horses are tougher than the ones at Turfway.  She is also running for a tag now.

2nd #5 Complete Surprise only lost by two last out in Florida on the turf.  She’s never been off of the turf, so I am curious how she will like the dirt, but I like her recent workouts too.  She should be okay here.

3rd #10 Mariposa D’Oro has had about six months off, this spot is a bit easier than the one she ran at last 

time in Louisiana, and before that her second place was respectable.

Race 5

1st #1 Carina drops in class and comes back to Churchill for the first time in almost a year.  She hasn’t won here before, but has been on the board.  She looks ready to go off of a two-month break.

2nd #2 Bold Esther has nine races, and she has been on the board for four of them.  She gets a needed class drop, and has had a few months off.  A nice little $1,200 she’s had a good start to her career.

3rd #11 Love My Honey looks good too.  She’s coming from Oaklawn, and has made a lot of money just from her two wins.  I don’t know if she’s good enough to win, but the class drop should help.

Race 6

1st #2 Sister Hanan placed third in a grade three last out, and it was a super good effort.  Good enough to win this race if she can run back as good.  Corey Lanerie aboard, this is her first race since end of February. 

2nd #7 Sea of Blue has some sweet connections, and won her last race at Gulfstream.  This is a tougher spot for her, but she is also switching trainers so we will see what she can do.

3rd #9 Sister Kitten I only see being a threat because of how good her connections are here.  Her last race at Turfway wasn’t that hard and nothing to sneeze at.  Maybe she will like this track a little better.

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