Bet/Returned
$56/$73.40
Hello and welcome back to Belmont Park for another Thursday afternoon card. We have 8 races on tap here and will continue to try and keep our 3 week streak of positive ROI in tact. Let’s get hot today!
Race 1: 3-1-2
#3 FREEDOM PRINCE has run twice here over big sandy and ran 2nd both times which were this gelding best speed figures. This guy has some of the best speed in the field, there isn’t that much speed here and if he gets to the front there shouldn’t be too much pace pressure. Trainer is 18% in maiden claiming races which compared to the rest of these trainers is very solid.
Race 2: 9-6-4
#9 CAUSFORCELEBRATION just missed last time out here at Belmont at this distance. He had a rough start last time out where he got pinched at the start and had to move out into the 6th path and wasn’t able to get up at the wire. Today getting the outside post should help the issues we had at the start last time. Kendrick is back up and this race looks to be the one for this professional maiden.
Race 3: 6-1-2
#6 ZEALOUS is going for the three peat here after winning his first race this year, where he is 2 for 2. He should be in a perfect stalking position here which is where we will want him to be. His beyers are among the best in the field and Jim Bond with Saez this year has been a lethal 24% with a $2.35 ROI.
Race 4: 8-2-1
#8 END PLAY couldn’t get up in time last race out at the Spa for Irad who hops back on today. That race earned him his highest Beyer since November of 2018 and that race was very solid over all, we add the extra half furlong today which should help. This guy is 7 for 11 ITM here at Belmont and is 5 for 10 ITM at this 6 furlong distance and he looks the best here.
Race 5: 6-3-1/1A
#6 QUEEN KAHEN is my upset pick here to give us some value against the 4/5 ML favorite in the second choice. There’s a lot of speed in this race and this filly should be coming from off the pace which will be huge for her. The trainer percentages are very nice here and this could be a great value.