Turfway Park Racing Analysis- Dec 26, 2018- By Hunter Ulwelling

Turfway 12-12-2018 by Hunter Ulwelling (@hunterandhorses)

Race 1- #1 Pistol Box was nearly beaten last out and is coming back for his revenge.  This Ice Box gelding is slowly narrowing in on a victory but eleven starts and no wins is kind of hard to like.  Could the 12th start be the charm?

2nd Thought eleven starts was pushing it? How about fourteen? Here’s #4, Finished.  Also ran second last out, but I really don’t see why he’s any better than Pistol Box.  He’s ran at the lower levels for quite some time now.

3rd #9 Zapper is slowlyyyyy starting to get closer and closer with each race at hitting the board.  Who doesn’t like Malcolm Franklin either?

Race 2- 1st #3 Brews Toonie Toss is solid on the synthetic and she comes from Woodbine, and has good connections.  She’s never raced here, but that’s ok. I’m just looking to take something that isn’t the chalk and can handle the surface well.

2nd #1 Rulelikecleopatra with Malcolm Franklin aboard is due for a win, she is heavily raced and won a lot of races, not super consistent anymore and I think as she turns eight next week, maybe the connections would be better off retiring her.  She just doesn’t have the heart anymore.

3rd I don’t think #7 You’re the Reason will win, but we just need her for third.  She comes off of a win for $5,000 here last out, but out of fifteen starts, she’s won three races, but hasn’t hit the board otherwise.  Kind of odd to see.

Race 3- 1st #2 Copus is one I took last out and I’m willing to give him another shot, he just ran second.  Nine years old, seventy-one starts, he is your true definition of a war horse. Besides his race last out, he’s been lackluster lately.

2nd #3 Fightfaster just won by five, and for his age he still shows some ability even at the bottom ranks.  He’s been the board five of eight starts this year.

3rd #4 Impassable Canyon looks good at this level, ran third behind Copus, and enjoys the Turfway track.  I expect him to sneak on the board somewhere.

Race 4- 1st #2 Sights and Sounds (I took last out for third, had a gut feeling he’d win) and now here he is running back in the same race at 9/5.  I’m taking him because for the conditions he ran in last time, and got an 86 Beyer, he smoked that field and ran a huge number.

2nd #3 Birds Gone Wild just ran second behind Sights and Sounds, and didn’t really get a ton of credit for it, so he goes in second place.  His Beyer he got last out was respectable enough to be worth second place.

3rd #6 Snow Leopard could beat both of these horses above if he wants to, with his races he ran 4/5/6 back, definitely solid with nearly 90’s for Beyers.  I just feel like all three of these guys are going to go 1-2-3.

Race 5- 1st #2 Talaalah is a Candy Ride filly, and you just can’t go wrong with Candy Ride’s.  Since she ran second last out but beforehand was giving some pretty dull performances.  With her breeding, I would have expected her to be a rockstar.

2nd #5 Bee Balm also just ran second at this level.  She is a four year old Smart Strike filly. Again, with the breeding, you don’t expect these sorts of horses to be running at the bottom.

3rd #3 First Kiss is a red flag.  She’s 3/1 so somebody has to know something I don’t? A three month layoff since Belterra and her races beforehand she was beaten by over 60 lengths! Somebody knows something I don’t since she is still running.

Race 6- 1st #3 Rainwalker is a Regal Ransom filly who is coming off of a second place finish last out at this level.  Twenty three starts and five wins is actually fairly decent, and she also has some on the board finishes.

2nd #1a Pink For Me just won by six lengths last out.  Man, she’s raced a lot and I am surprised that her connections are even running her anymore.  Not consistent, it’s tough to know when she’ll run good.

3rd #2 Tiz Beauty has been around the block just like the rest of these girls, her race last out was a clunker, but every horse has them at some point.  Again, also not consistent, but when she wants to run, she usually wins or hits the board.

Race 7- 1st #4 Twinkling Night lost a race by nose last night, and had to settle for second.  The race before that was a big flop, and I think since his layoff, as he gets fit, he will improve.

2nd #1 Marvelous Sky hasn’t won in almost three years.  Kind of unfair to the horse, but based on recent works and efforts, the oddsmaker thinks he’s the best of the bunch.  Good jockey, McKee is riding at 16% right now.

3rd #6 Sidney’s Ransom was a cheap $5,000 at the Keeneland sale, and he has been doing OK, but found himself running at the bottom.  Last race out wasn’t bad.

Race 8- 1st #3 No Picture Charlie first started against some tough company, now his class drop last out helped him much more, he ran 3rd by a length.  

2nd #9 Babeswildweekend goes from the top, to the bottom, coming in from Keeneland.  I wish the jockey had a higher win percentage, but this is between No Picture Charlie and this guy for sure.3rd #2 Kasamount sure ran some terrible races lately, but now blinkers on, could potientially refire here, but wants nothing to do with being a racehorse at the moment!

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