Turfway Park Racing Analysis- Wednesday, December 19, 2018- By Hunter Ulwelling

Turfway Park 12/20/2018 by Hunter Ulwelling (@hunterandhorses)

Race 1- 1st #3 Concord Coupe is 4/5 for a reason.  As you can see, the connections are attempting (and failing) to be sneaky about the maiden special weight last out to a bottom of the barrel claim with this race, but the sixty-nine Beyer last out was respectable.  

2nd #6 Queen Jeanne has done a lot of mixing up on surfaces, distances, etc. I think that her last two efforts have been mediocre and a class drop to the bottom should suit her very well, hot jockey Mojica Jr aboard, trainer is at 40% right now also.

3rd #4 Lady Creed also just ran second place last out here at Turfway, and closed well.  Appeared to run better with her trainer last out than ever before, and I think she appreciated the shortening up last out, now cut down another half a length here.

Race 2- 1st #9 Run Run ran good last out, I almost took the #10 above him, but I can’t justify it since he just beat the #10.  He’s been shipped around quite a bit this year and heavily raced. With three second place finishes this year, the win should be his this time.

2nd #2 Improviser ran fourth out to Run Run last out, was beat by one and a half lengths, so a fairly close loss.  He’s had five second place finishes this year, he’s been fairly consistent, I feel good about putting him in second.

3rd #10 Ray’s Away has Malcolm Franklin aboard, who in my opinion, if Turfway’s best jockey.  But I didn’t like the race he ran last out. His form this year suggests he’s lost interest in racing and could probably be third place here.

Race 3-1st as much as I like beating the chalk, it’s tough to go against Ramsey class droppers, especially when they come to Turfway.  So #9 Lady Leah ran a great first race at Kentucky Downs, but then came back to run a couple of clunkers that were nothing like her first race.  Here she has a good jockey on her back, a class drop, and a new surface to try.

2nd #5 Chinacatsunflower has had a little refresher now hopefully comes back to break her maiden from a second place at Belterra, and several third place finishes, just like none of the field, has not tried the synthetic yet.

3rd #7 Kissin Kory last lost out at Churchill lower than this level by a length.  She has worked on the synthetic, and it seems to be average at best but you never know.

Race 4- 1st #4 Erin’s Wish won last out, Perry Ouzts has had some tough luck this meet, but he’s won on her twice before, and if you look at her starts, twenty-seven starts, eight wins, and eight seconds isn’t something you see often in a mare.  She’s a consistent check getter.

2nd #7 Ivy O’Day has won five races this year.  She has not tried Turfway or the synthetic surface before but she should be just fine.  Her Beyer’s lately (with the exception of last out) have been good enough to win this race.

3rd #6 Mynameismoney is going against a tougher, more consistent bunch this race than last out.  She will have her hands full, but she’s won two of four races so far. I think she will be good for third in this spot.

Race 5- 1st #5 Magic Feet looks good here.  I like Rogelio Miranda and he gets run out of his mounts.  She is a filly bred by Awesome Again who has ran excellent Beyer numbers for the levels for the races she’s been winning.

2nd #4 Dream Park has only been off the board once this year, and it was her first race off a layoff.  One win, one second place, and five third places for this year alone.

3rd #2 Magnetic Spot has been fairly consistent this past year or so, but two and three back, threw a couple of clunkers that were unlike her.  Toss those races, and she’ll be just fine in this spot. She has been on the board six of eight races at Turfway.

Race 6- 1st #1 Senora Gato has a homebred Kitten’s Joy filly running for Calumet Farm.  Honestly, her works are tough to compare to the others because she’s only been working with a couple of horses at a time, she makes her debut start here.

2nd How can #3 Spiel be 8/5 morning line? Sure, she’s a homebred for Claiborne Farm, but nothing says “red flag alert”, more than this filly’s running pattern.  She’s trying something new by coming off of the turf and going onto the synthetic.

3rd #1A Twin Channel has raced some tough fillies this fall in Kentucky, although this isn’t a class drop, this is a better suited field for her.

Race 7- 1st #8 Jaunt has only one race and she’s made $122,958 and has gone against just some monster fillies in New York.  Great connections, Claiborne homebred.

2nd #6 Sistas Ready is a More Than Ready filly who has had a lengthy layoff since her summer races at Churchill.  She’s raced and won at Turfway also. Connections are winless this meet but I’ll have the confidence to take this one for second.

3rd #4 Sugar Bow broke her maiden with her seventh attempt, and then ran 7th in an allowance optional claimer last out.  She was a $100,000 purchase, still has a long ways to go in earning her price back.

Race 8- Again, I don’t like taking the chalk but sometimes you have to.  1st #12 Testy Kitten won last out, and now comes back to run at the bottom.  Not much potential in his first four races, the class drop seemed to help.  Just seems to be the best of the bunch.

#10 Tizabreeze is dropping a little bit in class.  He has a first and second on this surface, but his efforts lately haven’t been great, gets a jockey change here.

3rd #11 Grammar’s Legacy comes back to run at this level again after finishing third last out.  Also gets a jockey change from Franklin to Orm, we will see if it makes a difference.

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