MOBINE MONDAY 1/21/2019
RACE 1
4 HEATHER LOVES NY looks to be the right one in here, should be forward early on and that makes her the one to beat IMO, also note she beat rivals 1,2,3 on that November 26th try for whatever that is worth, but nothing to get too excited about from a wagering standpoint
7 JORDIES HOPE would be the only other I’d consider, but I would need 4-1 to bet and I’m not sure we will get it, but if you excuse the post 10 try last time, the race before that was visually impressive, she can win but let price be the guide
BOTTOM LINE: THESE ARE THE 2 MOST LIKELY WINNERS, BUT IN A 7 HORSE FIELD IT’S JUST NOT GOING TO BE A GREAT BETTING RACE
RACE 2
3 VERO AMORE BI is the wild card, he could win, he could run last, but whether he shows up is anyone’s guess, but the drop in class off the long layoff is a cause for pause, tough call, but the bigger the price the more usable
4 MYSTERY BET looks to be tough on paper, as he’ll go off the favorite more than likely, but since he’s always dependent on a good trip, he’s tough to recommend on top at a short price, prefer others
5 ZEUS LIGHTNING also finds a softer spot and perhaps that’ll be the wakeup call, he’s not a good wager at the suggested ML of 3-1 but I supposed if he drifts to 5 or 6-1 he’s worth a look
2 ON THE SLY was bet hard last week from the 8 hole and nearly delivered despite a tough, but tonight’s field is much tougher and you may not get much of a price once again, the inside helps but he doesn’t like to win, and the last seemed too good to be true, prefer to fade altogether
BOTTOM LINE: Willing to waste a few dollars on the 3, but again not a great betting race
RACE 3
4 TIKI TAKA won 3 straight and 4 out of 5 before having broken equipment the last time we saw him on the 7/8ths of a mile, I do think that his racing style lends to vulnerability at short prices, but he fits and can win, and if the ML suggestion of 6-1 is correct he’s very interesting
2 MYSTICAL MISSION is always a risky proposition as he may blow up and he may win, the price should be the only thing that matters when betting animals like this
5 OLE JACK MAGIC have been facing slightly tougher and should appreciate the small drop in class, but I’m not so sure those last two miles suggest enough to take too short of a price
8 PARKHILL NONSTOP is sharp right now but has had a long string of really good posts, hard to know what to get from out here, but prefer others if favored or short
BOTTOM LINE: THE 8 CAN WIN, BUT HE’LL BEAT ME AS THE FAVORITE / SHORT PRICE FROM POST 8
RACE 4
3 THINK AGAIN has had tough posts in the last two and as a result not gotten the best of trips, moves inside tonight and should be able to land a spot close to the action early on, after that it’ll be up to McClure, interesting if more than the ML suggestion of 5-1
4 PRINCE GIOVANNI comes off a win and goes from Galluci to Giles, and that’d be the only concern, but this ban has been going well and Roy in the bike suggests good things, can win but the price is likely short
5 LONE WOLF TERROR likely will go favored here, and probably is the one to beat, but doesn’t offer any value at the 2-1 odds he’ll likely go off at, prefer to play against
BOTTOM LINE: ANOTHER CHALKY AFFAIR THAT DOESN’T LOOK APPETIZING ENOUGH TO BET
RACE 5
7 ARUKIDINME CABBIE has looked sharp and we may not have seen the best yet, but I think it’s also a good chance to take a shot against a horse that has found back to back soft fields, after all, we know he’s got issues and could always resort back to them
5 RU TALKIN was bet like the winner he was last time out and I would think this one will continue to improve as well, with the early speed we could see him forward again as they find out what they have as they climb the class ladder, interesting, but likely overbet off the maiden score
3 ICONIC VELOCITY is the one I want to try as the Bettors Delight son should appreciate the switch back to the bigger, the inside post shouldn’t hurt, and if you get 4-1 or more he’s worth a shot shipping up north for the first time
8 EASY FLYER may have just needed the race, gets 2nd time Lasix perhaps we see this one take another step forward tonight at a big price
BOTTOM LINE: THE FAVORITE DRAWS THE OUTSIDE AND COULD BE FORCED TO TROT BOTH ENDS OF THE MILE, HE’S HAD BREAKING ISSUES IN THE PAST AND DESPITE HOW GOOD HE’S LOOKED I THINK AT A VERY SHORT PRICE HE’S WORTH A SHOT AGAINST
BETTING SUGGESTION:
3 ICONIC VELOCITY TO WIN AT 4-1 OR MORE
TRIFECTA 3 / 58 / ALL 58 / 3 / ALL
RACE 6
2 STORMONT CHARLOTTE is in good form but I’m not one to take horses after they win at 27-1 and end up as the ML favorite, much prefer others, given the likely price
3 DONATO LANE has won 3 straight now, and could be on her way to another win tonight, might even go off favored once again, no problem with anyone that likes but figures to short price wise
4 ESQUIRE delivered a massive effort off the layoff last time and could be in line to do so again tonight, the price has to be your guide, don’t worry if he’s cold on the board either, he can win if he’s ready, so bet if you think he will be
5 HEY LIVVY was favored and won against the 2 horse on Dec 17th, suggesting she may go off shorter than that one tonight, contrary to the ML suggestions in the program, IF this one drifts and I wouldn’t’ suspect that to be the case, this one becomes usable
6 PERFETTO hasn’t been seen since October but the qualifier off the bench suggests he could be ready to go, that being said, this one will more than likely be bet if he’s live but I doubt you’ll see 10-1
BOTTOM LINE: ESQUIRE COULD BE WORTH A STAB TO UPSET
WAGERING SUGGESTION 4 ESQUIRE AT 9-1 OR MORE
RACE 7
SCINTILLATING RACE. I HAVE NO IDEA, THEY MIGHT ALL HIT THE WIRE TOGETHER. BASICALLY, YOU HAVE TO DECIDE WHICH RACE WAS BETTER LAST WEEK, THE RACE WON BY THE 3 ODDS ON AMETHYST WHO BEAT 1, 2, 8, OR THE RACE WON BY CLASS JUMPING PL JILL WHICH HAD THE 5, 6, 7, AND 9. PERHAPS THE 4 AND 10? GOOD LUCK, LET PRICE BE GUIDE.
RACE 8
3 TOMY TERROR has been sharp in her last two, but the barn change should be cause for pause, especially at a short price
9 MYBROTHERGEORGE certainly wasn’t done any favors at the draw but I think at a big price, should the favorite falter this one could be rolling late, race shape tends to matter less when you get fields of horses that don’t like to win, 10-1 or more is fair
8 BRICKMAN was either a no try from post 10 off the scratch, or he’s just going to throw in another clunker, if he’s 15-1 he’s worth a look
2 JENKINS CREEK always seems to get a bad trip, but with the inside draw expect this one to save some ground this week, perhaps that’s enough?
BOTTOM LINE IS THE BARN CHANGE ON THE MORNING LINE CHALK COULD BE ENOUGH TO SEE THIS HORSE RUN OUT OF THE EXOTICS, I’LL PLAY THE RACE FOR THAT TO HAPPEN
RACE 9
3 HEAD TURNING JAG drops to his last winning level and should be live tonight, I wouldn’t touch at 5-2 though in this competitive field
4 WILD AND CRAZY GUY has turned in two sharp 2nd place finishes but really isn’t likely to get good trips like that again, prefer others
8 EXEMPLAR could get lost in the wagering but note that before the post 10 try (or lack thereof) last week, this one had 3 different drivers, before that Louis Phillipe Roy drove, he’s back in the bike tonight, you’ll never get the ML I wouldn’t think but worth a shot at 9-2 or more
BOTTOM LINE IS 8 EXEMPLAR HAS WAITED FOR THIS DROP SINCE THE WIN, HE GETS IT TONIGHT AND HE’LL BE RIGHT THERE AT THE FINISH I THINK
RACE 10
NOTHING WORTH BETTING, SEE YOU NEXT WEEK! FOLLOW ON TWITTER @LEGENDBETS #MOBINEMONDAY