Race 1: MdClm $16k Fillies 3 Years Old 1M
1st: #6 Lucky Dilly, tough selection on top didn’t like a whole lot in here. Like this one’s finishes locally two second place finishes including a narrow miss at this condition after trying more expensive more recently.
2nd: #2 Fairy Wish, continues to step down in class, the last two after the addition of blinkers have made her run a little closer to the pace. She owns the field-best Beyer in the two back.
3rd: #4 Boob Boom Gone, always beware the 11 time maiden, the last out effort was her best ever she was just a half-length off the winner but it was over a sloppy track.
Race 2: Clm $5k 7F
1st: #5 Elbow Room, Englehart moving this one down from Finger Lakes where he was always competitive at this level earning Beyers consistently in the 60s. Two recent drills show he’s in form after the recent freshening.
2nd: #1 Cause He’s Western, the likely speed of the field coming from that rail post position, depending on how rail speed is playing he’s a threat. Has shown ability to wire fields at 1M, distance should be no issue.
3rd: #3 El Grillo, 2 wins locally back in October, some added distance should help him close here.
Race 3: MdClm $16k 3 Year Olds 1M
1st: #6 Wall, did not get trip he needed last out at the $40k level going two turns, drops back into one turn distance. Check out two back comment “swung 7wd 3/16” he made up 5 lengths from there to only lose by 2. Better trip around the turn and he wins that race. Lowest price of his career.
2nd: #3 Multiple, last out effort was ugly, they’ve since gelded him and this effort should more resemble the debut which was decent at the $25k level. Returns to one turn as well.
3rd: #4 Southern Rules, 9-5ML favorite, last two efforts at $25k since adding blinkers were much better. Will be competitive here.
Race 4: Clm $5k F&M 5 & ½F
1st: #7 Springtime Wind, thought this race shaped up for a closer as I expect the 4 Slewzer to set the early fractions but tire. This one has won 5 times over this strip. Given the right pace to take aim at, she should have a good shot in the stretch.
2nd: #2 Greeley’s Striker, there’s a case to make for this one to be your winner but she has a habit of running with early pace, and that could kill her chances if she runs with Slewzer. If she rates properly she has a strong chance.
3rd: #4 Slewzer, will definitely be setting the pace, depending on how the track is playing she shouldn’t last, but if speed is killing she might. 2 for 4 at this distance.
Race 5: MdSpWt 3 Year Olds 6F
1st: #3 Baptize the Boy, have to go with this one on top although slightly begrudgingly. I wonder about that debut effort where he earned a really nice 71 Beyer due to the muddy track. The fractions were average but the shorter distance today should help. Preferable to a debuter or one with 7 losses.
2nd: #4 Casper Slow, here’s the debuter I would bet, Trombetta gets them ready pretty good, notice he’s hitting 24% in MdSpWts and a bunch of solid if not spectacular drills.
3rd: #8 V.I.P. Ticket, including this in the top 3 just because he has some recent decent efforts although doesn’t show much improvement. If everything sets up perfectly he will win one of these days.
Race 6: Clm $5k 7F
1st: #4 Runabout, clear stand out in this field given recent form, actually surprised he wasn’t claimed out of his last where he won easy. Expect less than 3-1ML odds.
2nd: #2 Colmont Fire, two decent tries in last two, not a lot jumping out that he’s ready to win. Hasn’t won since 2017.
3rd: #9 Junction, have to assume he was not himself in the last, the previous couple before that were all very consistent, and he even has some pretty nice Beyers. Can’t help but notice the last was his first start for a winless trainer.
Race 7: MdClm $10k 3 Year Olds 1M
1st: #1 Expect Drama, definitely like the last two, probably wins the most recent if it was at today’s trip, lost to nice quality horse Trion Wings. Rail post should suit his pace setting style.
2nd: #3 America’s Prince, first Lasix, first blinkers, 1st off the claim for Dale Capuano, will definitely be a threat. Can envision the horse running away with him if the equipment changes were what he needed, his races before weren’t awful.
3rd: #4 By The Bay, the Claudio Horse. 3 close calls in last 4, doesn’t quite seem to have that closing kick needed, noted lack of improvement in the Beyers. But it’s Claudio.
Race 8: Alw $42k F&M 1 & 1/16thM
1st: #5 Oxhilirating, this Michael Gorham trainee is on an absolute tear under her new tutelage. 2 for 3 since joining the Gorham barn and the Beyer improvement is tremendous. The last effort was her first on Lasix & earned an 81 Beyer and a 96 DRF Speed Rating. Excellent spot for Gorham to get another condition fulfilled with this obvious standout. Don’t think you’ll get the even money ML.
2nd: #3 Setubal, didn’t enjoy the mud in the last and was 7 wide on the turn. Previously won at the OC$25k level earning a 66 Beyer. Has a penchant for Laurel, finishing in the money in 5 of 8 attempts.
3rd: #4 Musabaqa, couldn’t blame you for trying this one underneath Oxhilirating, the last was decent in this condition, and the two back was tremendous albeit against claimers. Coming into her own at 4.
Race 9: MdClm $25k F&M 7F
1st: #5 Bash, will be third try for Rodolfo Sanchez-Salomon, first in the claiming ranks. Will be taking blinks off for the first time and Rodolfo has hit 3 of 5 doing so returning $8.96 on $2.00 bet. Always gives it her all.
2nd: #8 Cooley Alley, tough post position, the first effort was good but her fractions were far too fast. First off claim for Claudio Gonzalez is always a tremendous angle but I’m banking on her stamina issue at 5.5F to not get better at the move to 7F. We’ll see if CG has the magic here.
3rd: #4 Friesing Waters, second off the 14 month layoff, this one is going to improve bigly for Trombetta after a decent first attempt back where she set the early fractions and tired in the mud up at Aqueduct. Definitely a case for this one on top