his twitter is @erictalkshorses
Race 1
A: #2 Portal: Looks to be rounding into form. After being in allowance company dropped in for a tag and cut back a panel. The October 1st bullet points this one to my top choice.
B: #7 Tale Of Fame: Colebrook had a huge price win yesterday and with the way this track has been playing it should play right into this horses strengths gate to wire. It is encouraging that Jose gets the call.
C: #4 Twin Farms The other Colebrook, has a win and a third over this course. Has knocked head with tougher this year and may be sitting on an improved effort dropping in for a tag.
-Obviously, the five is the most logical winner, but with these 7F races wild finishes tend to happen and I think the horse will be way overbet.
Race 2
A: #2 Big Dollar Bill ran a good 3rd versus graded company last out off a brief freshening. Has put in 4 works since that race. Looking for this one to fire a big effort over a course he is 2 for 2 lifetime over.
B #3 Fort Fortitude: Hartman puts this one back on the dirt and the turf form has been quite sound. This twirling candy gelding should take to this surface as he progeny have shown an affinity for this dirt course. The most recent work is a bullet which leads me to believe this horse is sitting on a big effort.
Race 3
No strong opinion.
Race 4
A: #7 Dancing Waves: Tomlinson and Rocco team up here and they have this one moving in the right direction and a horse with tactical speed and she is no stranger to being on the lead which is vital in the 7F crapshoots. The price is right!
B #3 Bizzee Mischief Out of town connections, but this horse has shown ability to take to the dirt. The horse is getting some class relief and shows tactical speed. A hot bullet over the Hawthorne dirt leads me to believe this one is sitting a primed effort.
Race 5
A: #5 Harvey Wallbanger With these baby races anything is bound to happen, and anyone can move forward drastically with races under their belt. But McPeek sent this one out last time without Lasix, which is added today and ran into an extremely talented colt and has worked forward since. McPeek also saddles the 11 an 850K purchase so there should be some ability.
B: #7 Cutting Humor Pletcher has struggled to get his horses going first time out recently. They have been really improving second out and that should improve this once chances for starlight racing. A 400k First Samauri so this one should look the part in that paddock.
C: #6 Erlich Albin got a huge win yesterday for Colebrook. He has confidence and this son of Curlin should improve second out for Breen with a .47 work just 7 days ago.
Race 6
A: #12 All About It: the post position is a negative, but this horse was game first out and the addition of Lasix should propel this son of Violence, a young top-class sire to the winner’s circle. For weaver who can get one going sprinting on the grass.
B: #8 Credit Swap For young horses you just don’t see them go to the lead and open up as this one did at first asking. Although he may not have been facing much that day this one must be respected at 10-1.
C: #3 Blame The frog: I am giving this one a look with some seasoning under HER belt, maybe the boggy turf at the quirky Kentucky Downs last time wasn’t to her liking. She must really improve to win here though.
I also think the 2 big questions are if the 2 or 4 will take to the grass, which the pedigree shows to be a real possibility. The 2 holds an edge of the 4 based on the most recent works. If this two take to the grass is could be a pretty chalky result. I want the 2 at 4-1 before I take 2-1 on the 4.
Race 7
No strong opinion
Race 8
It makes sense to believe the #1 War of Will: wins here with the way the turf played yesterday and the success of that post position; speed on the rail over a mile on the turf… The #5 Forloveofcountry has proven himself but faces a tough bunch. The #6 Blockbuster the other Casse should be given a second look with some quality breeding and Casse is the go-to man in Kentucky, Leparoux aboard with his other probably going off favored don’t be surprised if he runs the better race. The #10 Current has never been on the firm going so this course should play into his favor if the track comes up as soft as it was playing this week. The 11 and 12 also are improving young horse and could play a factor in this race. This race is very tough, and I would spread in the exotics… but I am staying away from multi-race exotics with these baby races anything can happen. The horse I ultimately land on….
A: #9 Shazier: My man Jersey Joe is aboard!! But this son of Cairo Prince really improved going 2 turns on the turf and his stallion has been one hell of a 2yo sire and at that price of 15-1 Ill chase him home!
Race 9
I DO NOT WANT ESKIMO KISSES!
A: #7 Talk Veuve To Me: I am going to forgive the last race…. I think this horse fits this race and the work tab suggest this one should improve.
Race 10
A: #4 Stave: Has a win over the track and that may just be what it takes to win this race
B: #2 Cheeky Cherub: Has held good class. I think this is the route of ground this one wants
C: #3 Excellent Sunset Is a very logical contender