The last Sunday of the Keeneland Fall meet, thank you to all who follow the Daily Gallop!
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Race 1: This first race is tough with many horses getting their second race under them, someone is liable to drastically improve off that start, but the question for many is the distance. There are no work tabs that drastically scream a big one. But I want the 3 Allegiance who is going to offer some value for a jockey trainer combo that has been clicking of late, gets blinkers, that work August 28th over this track leads me to believe this one should get better being on this surface.
Race 2: Here we have a cheap 6F with very little pace There are a few other who will show some speed… but there are many who are going to come off the pace. The horse I want is the 2 Two if By Sea who takes the blinkers off for the first time and has the ability to send and stalk and jump on the lead so
Race 3: These races are won by horses with races under there belt. The 2 Twelfofneverland will be over bet and I am not playing him. I am interested to see how 4 Kathak runs. But the horse that I am intrigued in this race is bred for the grass and put together a strong performance. Ignacio has put together a good meet.
Race 4: I am not going to get too fancy I like7 Rugbyman he has shown some versatility and he is by Keeneland leading sire Tapit. That Las effort off a brief freshening looked good.
Race 5: 6 Smuck Out should take the lead early and could easily get brave. 5 Ipanema Beach is interesting based off a few horses who have beat he. But the seems to just settle for ran with the pack. I want the 3 Mo Moxie getting Lasix for his second start. He has a nice-looking work tab so this one should be ready to run.
Race 6: This race is dominated by horses who love to rate well off the pace for a 5.5F race. Ward has struggled, but he scratched the 2 from a very tough race Saturday for this spot. 2 Nootka Sound is my play for this race, he will be running out there on the lead, with the horse just to his outside being the only other pace in this race. The horse is the play of the day.!
Race 7: These two turn dirt races are dominated by posts 1-4. This is a good sign as the horse I want is the 4 C.S. Incharge who is rounding into top form and get to the right surface. He has a work October 7th that tells me he is fit 3rd off and has races that beat this field in his PPs.
Race 8: The is a good race on paper. I am going to back 8 Rep Ipsa who is coming in off a good effort as my top choice. This horse likes to run here and should have the pedigree to get this distance. I am also interested in the 7 Beach Flower who was impressive here opening weekend. The horse can run on both surfaces, the horse seems to be in his peek.
Race 9: With this cheap of a race and this many consistent horses this race will be a good one. I am going to land on the 9 at extremely long odds. I think he should have a pace to run into and that should set up great for this horse who likes to come with a run. Lets go out with a bang!