Fair Grounds Racing Analysis — Saturday, December 8, 2018, by Jeff O’Reilly

Race 4:

(6) IBeam is one of few runners in here to have raced on turf. His form is much the best in here. I fear he will be a short price but one to build multirace wagers around.

(9) Pancho’s Lucky Boy seems to always run out of ground in the stretch. The extra distance and long stretch at FG should help this horse be right on the wire.

(4) Bound West is a first time gelding and first time on turf. His pedigree is much better suited for turf. Should have a better result than previously showed in his career.

6-9-4

Race 5:

(1) Midnight Fantasy comes in off an ultra impressive maiden score. If he runs back to that he wins for fun. The only concern is that late in the stretch he drifted badly.

(4) Silvercents seemed to not be too keen of the extra distance. The cutback should help with his good tactical speed.

(5) Goodprofit seems to be vulnerable at a short price It seems to me he wants more ground not the 6 furlongs he will get Saturday. I think there is value to try and beat him in top two spots even in short field.

1-4-5

Race 6:

(1) Sand Pit Road should sit a dream trip from the 1 hole. Has good tactical speed that will have him sit right in behind the speed and get first run on the closers.

(7) Throwacross has been out of form lately but that was all on dirt. He gets back to turf and with his speed he could be dangerous in here.

(8) Wabash Cannonball jumps back into state bred company here. My fear is that he will be too far back in a race that doesn’t have a ton of pace signed on. At a short price I will look elsewhere on top.

1-7-8

Race 7:

(5) Classy John seems to have his rivals quite overmatched in here. I would be stunned if he was sent off at 9/5. He will get a good stalking trip and take over at the top of the lane.

(8) Cabo’s Runner will be coming from way out of it at a big price. If there is a pace collapse this one could pick up the pieces. He might not win but one I wouldn’t leave off trifecta and super tickets.

(7) Pickett got into a wicked speed duel last out and tired badly. He has since freshened up and should be primed for a much better result Saturday.

5-8-7

Race 8:

(6) Ninety One Assault has been in the money in 5 lifetime starts at Firgrounds. He should work out a good stalking trip in here.

(7) In the Navy has good early speed in a race that is lacking some. He most likely will be on the lead. We will see if hes good enough to hold off the cavalry.

(3) Magic Vow has been extremely wide in his last few races. With a better trip I expect better result this time around.

6-7-3

Race 9:

(1) Autumn Warrior gets back onto the dirt where he is 3-3. This race is wide open and I will try and get a price in here. He should sit mid pack in a race that has a fair amount of speed signed on.

(3) Underpressure is the best closer in a field full of speed types. This one could sit the best trip on top of being the best horse. We will see if he has enough kick going this route of ground.

(4) Ready Prospector is the speed of the speed. He will be on the lead and it is just a matter of how fast he will go early. He will dictate this race.

1-3-4

Race 10:

(7) Bermuda Star runs her race everytime out. She as consistent as they come. Her best is right in the mix with the other. She will get a good stalking trip and hopefully get first run on the closers.

(5) Viva Vegas might be a bit vulnerable in here. She I dropping in class but hasn’t had much of an excuse in the last few to not get the job done. I fear she could be overbet and I will pass.

(4) Remember Daisy has good tactical speed that will suit her well Saturday. She might just inherit the lead if she breaks well.

7-5-4

Race 11:

(2) Givemeaminit comes in second off the layoff in prime position here. He has consistently raced against better than he will face Saturday.

(3) Monte Man just wins. He run his race everytime out. I fear there is a lot of speed to contend with in this spot. He will be a short price and one I think is vulnerable.

(1) Divine Bean has good speed but has also shown the ability to rate. Now coming from the 1 hole will most likely force his hand to send. If he gets an easy early lead he will be tough late.

2-3-1

Race 12:

(2) Minit to Stardom had a rough start last out as she stumbled badly. This sets up as a two horse race and I will take this one on the class drop and hope she has a good early start.

(3) Ours to Run seems to have figured it out in the last two starts. She has done nothing wrong but hasn’t beaten much doing it.

2-3

Race 13:

(7) Unrestricted dawdled at the start last out and still nearly won at first asking. He adds blinkers and that should make the difference Saturday.

(4) Boston Repo showed good speed on debut but faded slightly late. He should improve second out here at a reasonable price.

(5) Shang ran a very respectable second at first asking. Broke a bit slow but was right in the mix at the top of the lane and just couldn’t finish. He hung a little bit and that gives me pause using him on top.

7-4-5

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