Race 1: 7 8 3
Race 2: 2 5 6
Race 3: 4 2 7
Race 4: 6 8 11
Race 5: 8 6 5
Race 6: 6 3 1 5 2
Race 7: 2 5 4
Race 8: 7 2 5
Race 9: 6 5 7
Race 10: 10 12 5
Race 1: This is a mile and an eighth race. These are races that a usually won by horses coming from off
the pace, down the long Churchill stretch. But this race just does not look to have the pace signed on to
set up for that true closing type. I am dubious on many of these horse’s ability, many look to be pack
horses. We have seen recently that horses coming off of the turf has been a winning move. We have had
winners’ consecutive days going from turf to dirt and the 8 American Sea will give it a shot while going
from special weight to the tag, if Morales sits a stalking trip and this one take to the dirt he should be
heard from at the wire. But the horse I want is the 7 Royal Edition who has been knocking around this
level for the past several months and looks to the be horse on paper that will be on the lead with little
pressure. He has knocked heads with some good runners, just unable to get the job done. I am hoping
today with the lack of confirmed speed he gets the easy lead and gets a win for The Coach!
Race 2: Another race where I have a strong opinion. I feel like the pace should be mild with the 3 Penny
Lynn who is going for the lead from the break. It looks like the 6 Patti Patti Patti breaking from the
outside should go apply pressure ensuring a strong pace. I am hoping that the 1 Myositis Mystique turns
her form around for the good guy Greg Foley, this horse is a hard knocking type. When I was on the back
side, Foley felt this one was ready to run into his last race but clearly did not like the slop. If she rounds
back into form she could be heard from late. My play in this race is the 2 Erin’s Wish who should be able
to get out of the gate and sit a comfortable behind the pace. The trainer is 20% with horses who won
last out. Joe Rocco got along with this one last out and is 2 for 3 over the Churchill dirt so let’s get this
girl home!
Race 3: I like this race a lot, there are two horses I am extremely interested in. The first is the outside
horse the 7 Oxford Comma who has shown nothing but speed and brilliance since stepping onto the turf
course. This is a winner she is 7-10 life time and unexposed on the turf, but she has her hands full today
with plenty of speed and a well-known speedster to her inside in 5 Girls Know Best. This should set up
for my top selections a veteran turf sprinter in her own right the 1 Excessivespending who looks like she
has taken a step forward into the later half of her 4-year-old campaign after a brief freshening in August.
With the pace expected to be hot I hope she hits the turn full of fun and wears them down to the wire.
Race 6: This is one tough race for the 2YO on the turf. This is a spread race, I am searching for value
hear. It is easy to fall into Brad Cox’s lap here and take the 3 Zeored In a 400K son of Kantharos who has
thrown some strong turf runners in his own right and this one looks to be just as strong. He adds
blinkers off of a neck defeat in his first start. He is the one to beat. There are two horses at long odds
that I feel should be considered starting with my second choice the 1 Handsome Honey who is by Kitten
Joy which generally screams longer on the turf. But his first race he showed some promise closing into
the pace to run third, they stretched him out and he was flat. They gave him some time away and
although the trainer does not do his best work springing on the grass at this price this is one, I would not
ignore. There are so many ways to go in this race it is hard to narrow the scope; the 2 Tweezer first time
starter is bread for this and has been in company with the stable mate the 3 he finished just a head
behind in that work and the price should be much more lucrative. The 5 Trip Candy had a strong first
asking, they tried the dirt, he folded. Gave him some time away and if he improves, he should be a
factor here. I think Casse has a strong one here and leads me to my top choice the 6 Philosphy who I
would lean on heavier than the rest, Mark does great work on the turf and with these babies, he clearly
needed his first race and it being ran over a soft turf did not do him any good. I am expecting a much
stronger effort here in this spot and the morning works have increasingly improved and he should be a
force.
Race 7: There is one horse in here I want to play, and I feel the price should be right. The 2 Zaevion, I
get it he has not been seen since May, he was pulled up and walked off and now they drop him in for 8K.
But if he runs back to and of his races between Jan18 to Mar18 he is force to be reckoned with. Ron
Moquett is one of my favorite trainers sprinting on the dirt and he knows how to get them running off
180+ day layoffs where is strikes at a 17% clip. What is even more convincing is each time the horse has
come back to the track from a freshening he as ran some of his best races, and that morning work tab
leading into this race is extremely promising. October 31 st 47.4 and Nov 8 48.4…. He should be sitting a
huge effort today against a dubious bunch. Play of the day!