you can also check out his twitter: @erictalkshorses
Race 1
In this first race there are a few fillies making their second career start. One of these fillies could improve from lousy first starts. I think #5 Lunar Orbit is the one likely to improve of the two. None of the firster are really that interesting… therefore I am going to go with #1 Shacklette. Romans does will tuning them back, the long Churchill stretch should play into her running style.
Race 2
Pass
race 3
Pass
Race 4
looks like a race with a few horses that bred well. But in these races, I want experience. There is very little pace on paper, the #10 Full Swing is the speed and is starting out wide, so she should be given the lead. If she gets to set the pace, she could rock them to sleep on the front end
Race 5
This race looks like it will produce some quality horses. With these young races I could talk about multiple horses and give them a reason to be supported… But I feel #4 Liora stands a big chance here. The breeding suggests the distance and the surface should be to her liking and her first two starts a strong, 3 strong works coming in… looks to break that maiden today!
Race 6
I want to take the rail post #1 Blue Steel, this horse had a rough start first out and I hope this horse learned from that first race because these works hint that there is some talent in this colt. Dale Romans is %17 2nd career race. The other I would be interested in playing is #3 R One Assmussen and Santana do well together especially with the young horses.
Race 7
Pass
Race 8
#2 Mother Mother is going to take a lot of the money with the Baffert effect… Instead I think this race offers some value, I am going to land on the Pletcher who has a much better fall at Keeneland than his summer woes in New York. He has #4 Into Mystic who looks took go an extra panel, after opening up last time it gives me hope this one continues to get better and breading to back.
Race 9
pass
In Race 10 the Spendthrift Stallion Stake I want #8 Into the South who is by leading Spendthrift Sire Into Mischief… He raced against some salty fields through her maiden tries this summer and ran a nice 4th place finish on the grass last time. This one should be heard from late for a trainer that I am really starting to like!
Race 11
pass