Aqueduct Racing Analysis — Friday, November 16, 2018, by Vinny Blond

Bankroll: $50.00
Overall :-$100.00


Race 1- 2,4,5

Allured is most likely going to be the heavy favorite in here, but if he runs back to his race on October 5th he will win here.

Replicator is a first time starter for Chad Brown that was a 520K purchase.  Based on works looks like this one will need a start, but I expect him to be moving late.

$5 Pick 3 -2/2,5,6/5 ($15 Total)

Race 2– 6,2,5

Astounding loves this distance and has run at Aqueduct in the past.  There does not appear to be a lot of speed in here so Astounding should get a perfect trip.

Giant Run had no excuse last time last time out, and just has never been the same since coming back in 2018.  He outclasses most here, but will need a perfect set up to win.

Tricked Up beat Giant Run last time out, but got a very favorable pace to close into after not starting the best.  I expect him to be closer to the pace today, but with Astounding on his outside I think he gets caught turning for home.

$2 Exacta 6/2,5
$2 Exacta 2,5/6

Race 3 -5

Domain is going to be the heavy favorite today, but with this class drop against this field he has no excuses today.

$2 Double 5/3



Race 4 -3,4

Pendolino had a bad start last time out and still made up 5 lengths late.  This is not the strongest filed, so at morning line 6-1, I will take a shot that Manny Franco can get the job done with this one.

It’s a Lovely Day is going to be heavily bet, but this is one I will try and beat.  She finished 10 lengths behind the winner in her debut, but did finish 3rd and is dropping down in class, but can’t
help but think her morning line 1-1 odds are based on her being in Chad Browns barn.

$5 Win bet on #3


Race 6 – 2,5,4

Optimization (GB) is one of the purchases for Klaravich Stables with Chad Brown training that JV Turf Filly Champion Newspaperofrecord was sold at.  Klaravich has been very high on the horses they purchased at this sale so not going against this one.

$5 Win bet on #2
$5 Double 2/3

Race 7-3,7,5

Glossy was 8 wide last time out and just missed.  Today I am hoping she won’t be 8 wide and if she gets a fair trip she will be tough to beat for Bill Mott with Junior in the Irons.

Tap Tap Taparoo ran well for her first allowance race last time out.  I think she will improve today and outrun her morning line 8-1 odds.

$10 Win Bet on #3

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