W%25%
ROI -34%
Race 1
3-7-2
#3 Double Clutchin: this morning line fav is one I think would be beatable in any field but this one. She is the only class dropper which is a great angle. Her races 2 and three back she misses the Beyer Par. The big negative I have is she is a beaten favorite five times, so she is a big-time money burner so bet at your own risk.
#7 Blondie Lox Babe: The sire for this horse liked to sprint as did the
Dam-sire, so that’s a positive. There aren’t any flashy works for this horse although the trainer is good with debuting Maiden Claimers, he is 0-4 when they are 2-year-olds although they have all hit the board and you might get an ok price to help the exacta.
Race 2
6-5-3
#6 Milk Chocolate: That debut tells me he likes sprinting on the grass. He ran ok on the Polytrack for a solid third and now gets back to the right surface for an above average turf sprint barn. Getting the leading rider in the irons doesn’t hurt either.
#5 Commanding Candy: the Same idea with this colt as hes getting back onto his prefeared surface after running up the track on an off going. Trainer Dallas Stewart has had him training well in the morning with two bullets for his first race over the track, not a bad price either.
race 3
4-1-6
#4 Snapper Bite: With over half his wins coming at the Fair Grounds this is a nice horse for course angle especially with a horse coming off a pretty lousy race might help the price although he is the ML fav at 2-1
#1 Sea Vow: Also has done well at the Fairgrounds and is coming off a big win, so we have the HFC angle plus some excellent form. He came back off a long break, and the drop into the claiming level seemed to get his confidence back. Trainer Ron Faucheux is good with last out winners at 23%.
Race 4
pass
Race 5
5-3-4
#5 Tensas Thought: Comes off an excellent second at the level. Needs to improve the Beyer just a little bit to get closer to the par. His last win was first out of the barn for his trainer Wayne Catalano. I’m hoping he can put two good performances back to back together.
#3 Champagne Problems: 0-26 trainers are cold and when its a 33% trainer you can’t play these horses at low prices or any price till you see a few winning races. That doesn’t mean she can’t hit the board she is lightly raced and started her career winning 2 in a row.
Race 6
pass
Race 7
7-5-4
#7 Maybe Wicked: Good connections for this daughter of Mizzen Mast. She is lightly raced which is something we like to see at this class level she also loves the six-furlong distance she is 4-4 in the exacta at that distance.
#5 Astrollinthepark: Stake horses dropping to these types of levels can be dangerous, and she already won this type of race at CD going a little bit longer. Price is what stops me from putting her on top although she has all the tools to win today.
Race 8
pass
Race 9
3-1-5
#3 Singing Deacon: Another favorite pick But everyone else in this race hasnt run close to a 60, so that’s a big advantage. He is also dropping out of a pretty strong race at the 12.5 level where he ran a good second at 17-1. He has lost four times at the NW3L just never been in for this low an amount.
#1 Hot Ten: Since breaking his NW2L he has been declining in Beyers but maybe with the drop into state bred’s it will wake him up.
YTD 2 MEETS
WAGERED 248
TOP PICK % 28-126=22%
W/L -(51.70) R.O.I. -(20.85%)
SARATOGA 2018 SUMMER MEET RESULTS
TOP PICKS WAGERED BASED ON 2$ WIN BETS
WAGERED 106
TOP PICK %= 10-55 18%
W/L=(-39.10) R.O.I. -37
BELMONT 2018 SPRING MEET RESULTS
TOP PICKS WAGERED BASED ON 2$ WIN BETS
WAGERED 142
TOP PICK %=18-71=25%
W/L=-(12.60) R.O.I -9%