Blog

Race 1- 1^st #6 Fun and Games won last out here at Ellis by two lengths.  It was a good effort when she took charge of the field and ran off.  Her sire is Rattlesnake Ridge and you actually don’t see many foals from him so it’s interesting to see.

2^nd #8 Miss Discreet’s race last out as the chalk was quite disappointing to say the least- but after a long layoff to expect her to win isn’t really fair.  Now that she’s had an out, she will be a little more fit and should be better suited.

3^rd #5 Sohni ran third last out beaten by two lengths.  Before her last race she was beaten by Fun and Games.  It’s hard to trust her since she isn’t consistent but maybe this time she can step it up.

Race 2- 1^st #1a Meanbone just lost by a nose last out as the heavy chalk in Indiana.  He’s only raced at Ellis once and that was last summer. Overall this guy is a nice horse at this level as he is consistent, and always tries hard. 

2^nd #2 Mucho Macho Dan was at one time a really nice horse.  He’s won ten out of sixty-one races which is actually pretty good for a lot of claiming horses.  It’s not that he’s a bad horse, he’s just moved down class overtime. 

3^rd #3 Wildwood Dejavu is worth looking at.  He’s shipping from Louisiana and recently worked a bullet over this track.  It’s a good sign to see that Ron Faucheux had trained him multiple times because it means he liked the horse.  Kentucky could be his fresh start.

Race 3- 1^st #1 Syrah was just claimed from Karl Broberg here.  She should have won last out, and it’s surprising she didn’t but every horse has their days.  I do find it surprising that she was claimed twice recently with her previous form. First time on the turf.

2^nd #2 Simple Pleasure was a money pit being purchased for $160,000 and being claimed her first race for $15,000, (I personally would see that something is going on and wouldn’t have taken the horse).  Hopefully going down for half the price now she can pull one off.

3^rd #4 Matt’s Honey is also dropping almost half of her price.  She’s been claimed twice in nine starts so there is a sign of talent, but she hasn’t reached that level.  At 2/1, I don’t trust her on top so I’m putting her here. 

Race 4- 1^st #2 Winnipesaukee only lost by three lengths in his first race.  Brad Cox is dominating Ellis at nearly twice the winning percentage as Steve Asmussen with under half the starts.  The son of Will Take Charge has the blinkers on for this race.

2^nd #1 Sultry Samurai was in a tough, tough race for his first start.  This spot is a little bit of a relief and his second start which should help him since he is getting some experience.

3^rd #5 Money On My Mind only lost by three and a half lengths last out and shouldn’t be overlooked, because it was an improvement from his first race.  Gelding him could have helped.

Race 5- 1^st #2 Headland is a real nice filly by Paynter who just won a huge allowance race at Churchill.  She made waves winning five races in a row, two back broke the streak, but then won again last out.  Once she figured out racing, she really flourished.

2^nd #6 Peruvian Appeal just ran third in a grade one.  She had won two races in a row previously at Oaklawn and Churchill which is very respectable.

3^rd #3 Ascot Day is also a very nice filly.  She rocked Oaklawn which has lead her to almost $100K in earnings this year alone.  The horses in her last race were some nice fillies as well.

Race 6- 1^st #3 Continental Clash was over a half a million dollar purchase.  Dale Romans is having a good meet and he is working out well so here’s to hoping he can live up to the hype.

2^nd #9 Strait n’ Silent ran in a stakes race for his career debut in Texas.  He ran fourth despite not having a good trip. It’s interesting they chose a stakes in Texas when he isn’t a Texas bred but since he was training there it seemed like a good spot.

3^rd #2 Strike Appeal should be a longer shot to watch for.  Mark Casse is having a really solid meet and this is his first career start.  He’s had more workouts than the average two year old does, so I’m curious what that means for his performance.

Race 7- 1^st #1 Take That For Data I chose last out on top and he ended up in third.  Another Brad Cox trainee who is running pretty well this year and his earnings have came from mostly this year.  He hasn’t won since March which isn’t typical for a Cox horse.

2^nd #3 Creative Courage is exiting a tough race and dipping down in class which suits him stronger than where he’s been running.  Last out was really unusual for this horse but he’s had almost two months off so hopefully he will be straightened out.

3^rd #4 Convict Pipe once upon a time was on the road to the Derby.  I’m not sure why his performance last out was so lackluster, along with his other last race but I’ll give him a chance.

Race 8- 1^st #4 Rowdy Yates is really the one to beat here after his third place finish in a grade three last out at Churchill.  Steve Asmussen is training.

2^nd #3 Axiomo is unbeaten in two starts winning two really nice races.   His competition from last out have followed him here and they ran well too so can he beat them again? Working out well too.

3^rd #6 Two Last Words ran fourth in the same graded race as Rowdy Yates and didn’t lose by much.  In three starts he has really tried hard.

Race 9- 1^st #4 Lady Glamour was a $1K purchase and in three races has made almost $50K.  Her stakes performance wasn’t a bad race so don’t discount her efforts in that, especially since she came back to win a nice allowance.

2^nd #9 Dixie Mo has had a little bit of a break after her two races at Belmont.  She’s trained by Wesley Ward and the blinkers also come off here which could benefit her.  Toss out her last race because she had stumbled and been bumped.

3^rd #5 Secretely Wicked shouldn’t be thrown out yet even at 20/1 odds.  She finished behind Lady Glamour last out by nine lengths but it was a good races.  She’s had a few decent races and more experience than most of the others.

Race 10- 1^st #1 Berning Repent drops down quite a bit in class and makes her first start for her new connections.  The class drop could help her get back to her winning ways especially if she can improve off of her new trainer.  

2^nd #11 Bella Belle just missed a win last out as she lost by a head here at Ellis.  The class drop is what worked out for this filly and I think she will be good here too.

3^rd #4 It’s Complicated won last out at the maiden claiming $30K level and now also dips in for nearly half her price.  For what she is, this is a good spot for her but I feel a little hesisitant taking her because of her win and a class drop.  It is a sign of good spotting on the connections part.