Aqueduct Racing Analysis — Saturday, January 30, 2021, by Ivan Lopez

1 – 1 Mile. ™‘Mdn 70k Purse $70,000 FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE

6-1-5

Elegant Laoban can be the upset special here, coming from a lesser circuit and taking a step up in class. Second time out screams improvement. Know It All Red was a one paced fourth last time out in this same level, now gets a mile, which should fit her better to her style. Still hot Eric Cancel with the ride here. Teetotaler will take the blinkers off, trying to be a little bit more controlled and gets Lasix. Franco repeats.

2 – 1 Mile. Clm 16000n2L Purse $28,000 FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES.

6-1-7

I See the Stars ran too bad to be believed last time out, trainer Wayne Potts returns him to the same level buy which he lost by 39 lengths last time out, and with no change in equipment. Lets draw a line then. Curlin’s Knight probably is the fastest of this group, and if he can get a clear lead, he can be dangerous, in a bunch of no world beaters. Kid Chocolate completes the top 3, now with Franco, who should put him much closer to the pace.

3 – 1 Mile. Clm 14000n3L Purse $28,000 FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES.

1-3-5

Magnetron goes second time out for trainer Rob Atras, who hits at a 27% clip doing so. He is 2 for 30, but the group is very bad and Franco should be able to put him in contention early. Mandatory Payout fell short with his late run in his most recent start, the mile should suit him better. Titan’s Will drops to the bottom after some extremely bad performances, if he can regain some of his old form, he can win in here.

4 – 7 Furlongs. Toboggan-G3 Toboggan S. Grade III. Purse $150,000 FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.

Stan the Man now gets a little bit more real estate to work with and the pace should be quicker now than in his most recent. Cancel tries again with him. Share the Ride should be the favorite, but I have some concern about the seven panels trip, and furthermore, Pete’s Play Call should keep him honest in those initial stages.

5 – 6 Furlongs. ™‘MC 40000 Purse $43,000 FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE

6-7-8

The ones that have raced before haven’t shown much, so I will give first time starter Esotica a chance for a debut win, for trainer Mike Maker. Nebo is the fastest in this bunch, he has already dropped to this level and came very close to win. Shakler Shack returns from a long layoff dropping from MSW, and he was the clear favorite that day. Something definitely went amiss and returns here for a tag, but working consistently.

6 – 7 Furlongs. Clm 12500 Purse $35,000 FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.

1-2-9

Sharp drop in class for Storm Advisory, and he should have the pace to run against, with the speed signed in. Skyler Scramjet is not the same horse than a year ago, but in this group, he is much dangerous. He is a very honest horse. Manifest Destiny is another one that can take advantage of a hot pace. Nice outside post.

7 – 1 Mile. Clm 40000 Purse $60,000 (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.

2-4-1

Limonite drops back into a group much more manageable for him, and at a better distance. He will be forwardly placed with Carmouche. Malibu Pro is another dropper, in his case, the longer the trip, the better. Let’s see what Maragh can do, with not much speed here. Roaming Union can be the upset in here, in the not so distant past, he has races that are good enough to win in this group.

8 – 6 Furlongs. ‘OC 40000n2x Purse $74,000 FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE

4-1-7

Carmouche will probably send South Africa to be at least forwardly placed, with no clear cut speed horse in here, and he is very effective with these type of horses. Golani Brigade takes a cut back in distance, maybe the mile was too much for him. At six panels, he is very dangerous. Scilly Cay completes the Top 3, needs some pace to be effective, so don’t be surprised if Lezcano puts him right on the first flight.

9 – 1 Mile. Mdn 80k Purse $80,000 (UP TO $13,920 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.

5-6-7

Five Tool Player debuts for John Servis, a fixture in Parx, and decides to send him to Aqueduct for his debut. A $900,000 purchase, seems to me that are very confident of a good showing first time out. Clemenza will sport blinkers for the first time, and probably will be at or near the lead. Working nicely for his return. Mystic Night for the contrary will take the shades off for Chad Brown, and he hits at 36% doing this.

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